TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13015222
Played Aug 26Finished
Radek Slunecko
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119811118116––
Adam Dvoracek
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:50 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeRadek Slunecko to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadek Slunecko above · Adam Dvoracek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 75 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Radek Slunecko at 65.7%
75 points played in total.
H2H Radek Slunecko 4–1 Adam Dvoracek Adam Dvoracek has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:50What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Slunecko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Slunecko
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slunecko 1439 vs Dvoracek 1388
Slunecko
Correct
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slunecko 40% vs Dvoracek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slunecko 40% vs Dvoracek 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Slunecko -2 · Dvoracek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Slunecko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slunecko form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlunecko 1.44 / Dvoracek 2.63
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Slunecko)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13015222
Slunecko1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite56% won 20 of 36
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it82% 14 of 17
Dvoracek2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 48 of 116
Down 0–1, comes back26% 17 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeSlunecko4wins
AwayDvoracek1wins
Slunecko leads 4–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlunecko100%3 of 3
AwayDvoracekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slunecko3Dvoracek2n = 5Slunecko took 3 of 5
S2Slunecko4Dvoracek1n = 5Slunecko took 4 of 5
S3Slunecko4Dvoracek1n = 5Slunecko took 4 of 5
S4Slunecko2Dvoracek1n = 3Slunecko took 2 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home240%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricSluneckoDvoracekS − DBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match36.831.8+5.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSluneckoDvoracekBasisWin rate · lifetime74 / 150 vs 248 / 46349.3%53.6%74 / 150 vs 248 / 463Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.038.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SluneckoSlunecko 1.44/Dvoracek 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Slunecko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Slunecko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LJun 19 · 09:30R. Slunecko—6118101A. Dvoracek—11911123
WJun 9 · 09:45R. Slunecko—1311113A. Dvoracek—11980
WFeb 2 · 14:06R. Slunecko—31111113A. Dvoracek—115681
WFeb 2 · 13:00R. Slunecko—111012123A. Dvoracek—81210101
WNov 29 · 16:15R. Slunecko—1111113A. Dvoracek—7470
R. Slunecko10
LSep 1 · 13:09M. Vorel1.4011115113R. Slunecko2.75961171WSep 1 · 11:30R. Slunecko1.6711911113J. Jnr2.10911491WSep 1 · 10:30R. Slunecko1.57911911113M. Melisek2.2511911832LSep 1 · 09:30R. Slunecko2.75711291M. Vorel1.4011611113LAug 26 · 12:28A. Dvoracek2.501111113R. Slunecko1.507750LAug 26 · 11:30R. Slunecko1.80117101552J. Hanacek1.916111213113LAug 26 · 09:30R. Slunecko1.7378111162F. Kubos2.00111149113LJul 31 · 12:24J. Seeman3.0011411113R. Slunecko1.36411851WJul 31 · 11:15R. Slunecko1.5011143113J. Seeman2.505121131WJul 31 · 10:15R. Slunecko1.80461112113J. Hanacek1.91111191052
A. Dvoracek10
LSep 6 · 20:33A. Dvoracek1.807860K. Farsky1.911111113WSep 6 · 20:00A. Dvoracek2.20713119123K. Jirousek1.611111711102LSep 6 · 18:30J. Pina1.9111611143A. Dvoracek1.808118121WSep 6 · 18:00K. Farsky1.731472101A. Dvoracek2.00121111123LAug 30 · 17:05A. Dvoracek3.007960P. Abraham1.361111103WAug 30 · 16:00A. Dvoracek1.80611411113J. Hanacek1.9111911752WAug 30 · 14:30M. Melisek2.50117761A. Dvoracek1.5021111113LAug 30 · 14:00P. Abraham1.3611101211113A. Dvoracek3.0051214882WAug 29 · 16:59J. Hanacek1.801091141A. Dvoracek1.9112119103WAug 26 · 12:28A. Dvoracek2.501111113R. Slunecko1.507750
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