TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055047
Played Sep 1Finished
Radek Slunecko
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711116211911––
Martin Vorel
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:55 and never touched — 67.9% is still 67.9%
Graded at full timeMartin Vorel to win
67.9%
67.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadek Slunecko above · Martin Vorel below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 2-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 68 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Martin Vorel at 67.9%
68 points played in total.
H2H Radek Slunecko 3–8 Martin Vorel Radek Slunecko has won 3 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:55What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Vorel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-8 in 11
Vorel
Correct
gap of 5 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slunecko 1425 vs Vorel 1429
Vorel
Correct
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slunecko 20% vs Vorel 60%
Vorel
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slunecko 40% vs Vorel 80%
Vorel
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Slunecko -2 · Vorel +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Vorel)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vorel form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlunecko 2.75 / Vorel 1.40
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Vorel)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13055047
Slunecko2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 10 of 25
Down 0–1, comes back33% 5 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back17% 1 of 6
Vorel1.40
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 99 of 177
Up 2–0, closes it90% 43 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it78% 73 of 94
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSlunecko2wins
AwayVorel8wins
1 of 10 to a deciderVorel leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlunecko66.7%2 of 3
AwayVorel100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slunecko3Vorel7n = 10Vorel took 7 of 10
S2Slunecko5Vorel5n = 10split evenly
S3Slunecko4Vorel6n = 10Vorel took 6 of 10
S4Slunecko2Vorel6n = 9Vorel took 6 of 9
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSluneckoVorelS − VBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.939.9−3.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSluneckoVorelBasisWin rate · lifetime75 / 153 vs 411 / 79049%52%75 / 153 vs 411 / 790Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.039.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VorelSlunecko 2.75/Vorel 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.9%
Vorel · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vorel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 17 · 11:15R. Slunecko—89110M. Vorel—1111133
LApr 9 · 10:30R. Slunecko—511861M. Vorel—11711113
LFeb 27 · 13:35R. Slunecko—10115101M. Vorel—12711102
WFeb 27 · 12:00R. Slunecko—111111113M. Vorel—613871
LOct 31 · 12:30R. Slunecko—146121182M. Vorel—12111013103
WOct 22 · 12:27R. Slunecko—11911113M. Vorel—611771
LOct 22 · 10:15R. Slunecko—911991M. Vorel—11911113
LJun 28 · 13:05R. Slunecko—881151M. Vorel—11114113
LJun 28 · 12:00R. Slunecko—9111041M. Vorel—11712113
LMar 25 · 10:30R. Slunecko—1311551M. Vorel—15611113
R. Slunecko10
LSep 1 · 13:09M. Vorel1.4011115113R. Slunecko2.75961171WSep 1 · 11:30R. Slunecko1.6711911113J. Jnr2.10911491WSep 1 · 10:30R. Slunecko1.57911911113M. Melisek2.2511911832LAug 26 · 12:28A. Dvoracek2.501111113R. Slunecko1.507750LAug 26 · 11:30R. Slunecko1.80117101552J. Hanacek1.916111213113WAug 26 · 10:30R. Slunecko1.4411811113A. Dvoracek2.63911861LAug 26 · 09:30R. Slunecko1.7378111162F. Kubos2.00111149113LJul 31 · 12:24J. Seeman3.0011411113R. Slunecko1.36411851WJul 31 · 11:15R. Slunecko1.5011143113J. Seeman2.505121131WJul 31 · 10:15R. Slunecko1.80461112113J. Hanacek1.91111191052
M. Vorel10
LSep 7 · 08:00O. Plyska2.101151213113M. Vorel1.67511141192LSep 7 · 07:00J. Mejzlik2.001091111113M. Vorel1.7312119982LSep 7 · 05:30P. Hlina1.5311811113M. Vorel2.38511751LSep 4 · 09:23J. Puk1.83119116133M. Vorel1.83611711112WSep 4 · 07:30M. Snizek2.2061151172M. Vorel1.61117118113WSep 4 · 07:00M. Vorel1.3681111113P. Moulis3.00113531WSep 4 · 06:00M. Vorel1.836111110113J. Puk1.8311891252LSep 2 · 16:28M. Vorel2.109870P. Hlina1.671111113LSep 2 · 16:00M. Vorel1.7377120L. Tuma2.001111143WSep 1 · 13:09M. Vorel1.4011115113R. Slunecko2.75961171
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