TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13076662
Played Sep 4Finished
Jaroslav Puk
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1169111176111311
Martin Vorel
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
How it is goingJaroslav Puk above · Martin Vorel below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 13-11
Point 96 set 5, 13-11
96 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Puk 35–28 Martin Vorel Martin Vorel has won 28 of their 63 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vorel)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Puk form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPuk 1.83 / Vorel 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Vorel)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13076662
Puk1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Vorel1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePuk5wins
AwayVorel5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePuk60%3 of 5
AwayVorel60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Puk5Vorel5n = 10split evenly
S2Puk5Vorel5n = 10split evenly
S3Puk7Vorel3n = 10Puk took 7 of 10
S4Puk4Vorel3n = 7Puk took 4 of 7
S5Puk1Vorel3n = 4Vorel took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPukVorelP − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.039.1−2.1per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPukVorelBasisWin rate · lifetime154 / 319 vs 414 / 79748.3%51.9%154 / 319 vs 414 / 797Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VorelPuk 1.83/Vorel 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vorel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Puk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 06:00J. Puk—11891252M. Vorel—6111110113
LAug 31 · 06:00J. Puk—61111822M. Vorel—118611113
LAug 25 · 09:03J. Puk—11431582M. Vorel—8111113113
LAug 25 · 08:00J. Puk—4611101M. Vorel—11116123
WAug 19 · 08:58J. Puk—12611113M. Vorel—1011781
WAug 19 · 08:00J. Puk—1111113M. Vorel—7660
LJul 21 · 12:38J. Puk—1690M. Vorel—1111113
WJul 21 · 09:30J. Puk—1311143M. Vorel—119120
WMay 15 · 10:30J. Puk—411117123M. Vorel—116911102
WMay 12 · 12:59J. Puk—81113113M. Vorel—1161161
J. Puk10
LSep 4 · 08:00J. Puk1.6711141110142P. Moulis2.10816912163WSep 4 · 06:30M. Snizek2.6310660J. Puk1.441211113LSep 4 · 06:00M. Vorel1.836111110113J. Puk1.8311891252WAug 31 · 08:34T. Bertho1.61511791J. Puk2.2011711113LAug 31 · 07:30P. Hlina1.53118911113J. Puk2.3891111672LAug 31 · 07:00J. Puk2.10158100T. Bertho1.671711123LAug 31 · 06:00J. Puk2.0061111822M. Vorel1.73118611113LAug 25 · 09:03M. Vorel1.738111113113J. Puk2.0011431582LAug 25 · 08:00J. Puk1.804611101M. Vorel1.9111116123LAug 25 · 06:30P. Hlina1.6711116113J. Puk2.10661191
M. Vorel10
LSep 7 · 08:00O. Plyska2.101151213113M. Vorel1.67511141192LSep 7 · 07:00J. Mejzlik2.001091111113M. Vorel1.7312119982LSep 7 · 05:30P. Hlina1.5311811113M. Vorel2.38511751WSep 4 · 07:30M. Snizek2.2061151172M. Vorel1.61117118113WSep 4 · 07:00M. Vorel1.3681111113P. Moulis3.00113531WSep 4 · 06:00M. Vorel1.836111110113J. Puk1.8311891252LSep 2 · 16:28M. Vorel2.109870P. Hlina1.671111113WAug 31 · 06:00J. Puk2.0061111822M. Vorel1.73118611113WAug 25 · 09:03M. Vorel1.738111113113J. Puk2.0011431582WAug 25 · 08:00J. Puk1.804611101M. Vorel1.9111116123
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