TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13006894
Played Aug 25Finished
Petr Hlina
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116116611119––
Jaroslav Puk
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:16 and never touched — 55.2% is still 55.2%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Puk to win
55.2%
55.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPetr Hlina above · Jaroslav Puk below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 71 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Jaroslav Puk at 55.2%
71 points played in total.
H2H Petr Hlina 3–1 Jaroslav Puk Jaroslav Puk has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:16What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Hlina
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Hlina
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hlina 1448 vs Puk 1397
Hlina
Correct
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hlina 60% vs Puk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hlina 60% vs Puk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hlina +2 · Puk -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Hlina) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Puk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHlina 1.67 / Puk 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Hlina)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13006894
Hlina1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite52% won 17 of 33
Up 2–0, closes it88% 7 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it88% 14 of 16
Puk2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog40% won 38 of 96
Down 0–1, comes back25% 14 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeHlina3wins
AwayPuk1wins
2 of 4 to a deciderHlina leads 3–1, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHlina75%3 of 4
AwayPukn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hlina4Puk0n = 4Hlina took 4 of 4
S2Hlina4Puk0n = 4Hlina took 4 of 4
S3Hlina1Puk3n = 4Puk took 3 of 4
S4Hlina1Puk2n = 3Puk took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricHlinaPukH − PBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set40+4of 4Avg pointsper match46.539.2+7.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHlinaPukBasisWin rate · lifetime78 / 148 vs 154 / 31652.7%48.7%78 / 148 vs 154 / 316Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HlinaHlina 1.67/Puk 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.6%
Hlina · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hlina won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 25 · 06:30P. Hlina—11116113J. Puk—661191
LAug 21 · 06:00P. Hlina—2015101192J. Puk—18131213113
WNov 14 · 07:30P. Hlina—1111113J. Puk—6780
WNov 7 · 08:30P. Hlina—121187113J. Puk—101111142
P. Hlina10
WSep 7 · 08:38J. Mejzlik2.1010111151P. Hlina1.6712313113LSep 7 · 07:30P. Hlina1.5311118652J. Mejzlik2.38681111113WSep 7 · 06:30P. Hlina1.831241211113O. Plyska1.83141110962WSep 7 · 05:30P. Hlina1.5311811113M. Vorel2.38511751WSep 2 · 16:28M. Vorel2.109870P. Hlina1.671111113LSep 2 · 15:30P. Hlina2.00111178132V. Toman1.73861111153WSep 2 · 14:30P. Hlina1.8071111113M. Vorel1.91118211LSep 2 · 13:30P. Hlina2.25991461L. Tuma1.57111112113LAug 31 · 09:03M. Vorel2.107111212113P. Hlina1.67118101462WAug 31 · 07:30P. Hlina1.53118911113J. Puk2.3891111672
J. Puk10
WSep 4 · 09:23J. Puk1.83119116133M. Vorel1.83611711112LSep 4 · 08:00J. Puk1.6711141110142P. Moulis2.10816912163WSep 4 · 06:30M. Snizek2.6310660J. Puk1.441211113LSep 4 · 06:00M. Vorel1.836111110113J. Puk1.8311891252WAug 31 · 08:34T. Bertho1.61511791J. Puk2.2011711113LAug 31 · 07:30P. Hlina1.53118911113J. Puk2.3891111672LAug 31 · 07:00J. Puk2.10158100T. Bertho1.671711123LAug 31 · 06:00J. Puk2.0061111822M. Vorel1.73118611113LAug 25 · 09:03M. Vorel1.738111113113J. Puk2.0011431582LAug 25 · 08:00J. Puk1.804611101M. Vorel1.9111116123
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