TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13051589
Played Aug 31Finished
Martin Vorel
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
71111812101214116
Petr Hlina
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingMartin Vorel above · Petr Hlina below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 12-14
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 102 set 5, 11-6
102 points played in total.
H2H Martin Vorel 4–7 Petr Hlina Martin Vorel has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Hlina)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hlina form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVorel 2.10 / Hlina 1.67
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Hlina)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13051589
Vorel2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog48% won 81 of 168
Down 0–1, comes back29% 26 of 91
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 44
Hlina1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite52% won 17 of 33
Up 2–0, closes it88% 7 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it88% 14 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVorel4wins
AwayHlina6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderHlina leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVorel75%3 of 4
AwayHlina83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vorel4Hlina6n = 10Hlina took 6 of 10
S2Vorel3Hlina7n = 10Hlina took 7 of 10
S3Vorel5Hlina5n = 10split evenly
S4Vorel4Hlina2n = 6Vorel took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricVorelHlinaV − HBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.336.8−0.5per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVorelHlinaBasisWin rate · lifetime412 / 793 vs 80 / 15152%53%412 / 793 vs 80 / 151Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HlinaVorel 2.10/Hlina 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59%
Hlina · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vorel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 06:30M. Vorel—12811101P. Hlina—14114123
LAug 25 · 05:30M. Vorel—8121171P. Hlina—11147113
WMay 30 · 08:29M. Vorel—11118113P. Hlina—561171
WMay 30 · 07:00M. Vorel—1111113P. Hlina—8880
WMay 6 · 08:59M. Vorel—111014133P. Hlina—81212111
LMay 6 · 06:30M. Vorel—61490P. Hlina—1116113
LJan 14 · 08:00M. Vorel—9870P. Hlina—1111113
WDec 14 · 10:05M. Vorel—21111113P. Hlina—115971
LDec 14 · 06:30M. Vorel—1114611102P. Hlina—716116123
LNov 19 · 10:00M. Vorel—6880P. Hlina—1111113
M. Vorel10
LSep 7 · 08:00O. Plyska2.101151213113M. Vorel1.67511141192LSep 7 · 07:00J. Mejzlik2.001091111113M. Vorel1.7312119982LSep 7 · 05:30P. Hlina1.5311811113M. Vorel2.38511751LSep 4 · 09:23J. Puk1.83119116133M. Vorel1.83611711112WSep 4 · 07:30M. Snizek2.2061151172M. Vorel1.61117118113WSep 4 · 07:00M. Vorel1.3681111113P. Moulis3.00113531WSep 4 · 06:00M. Vorel1.836111110113J. Puk1.8311891252LSep 2 · 16:28M. Vorel2.109870P. Hlina1.671111113LSep 2 · 16:00M. Vorel1.7377120L. Tuma2.001111143LSep 2 · 14:30P. Hlina1.8071111113M. Vorel1.91118211
P. Hlina10
LSep 7 · 07:30P. Hlina1.5311118652J. Mejzlik2.38681111113WSep 7 · 06:30P. Hlina1.831241211113O. Plyska1.83141110962WSep 7 · 05:30P. Hlina1.5311811113M. Vorel2.38511751WSep 2 · 16:28M. Vorel2.109870P. Hlina1.671111113LSep 2 · 15:30P. Hlina2.00111178132V. Toman1.73861111153WSep 2 · 14:30P. Hlina1.8071111113M. Vorel1.91118211LSep 2 · 13:30P. Hlina2.25991461L. Tuma1.57111112113WAug 31 · 07:30P. Hlina1.53118911113J. Puk2.3891111672WAug 31 · 06:30P. Hlina1.8314114123M. Vorel1.8312811101LAug 31 · 05:30P. Hlina2.5041111892T. Bertho1.50116211113
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