TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13049625
Played Aug 31Finished
Petr Hlina
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
411116112811911
Tadeas Bertho
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:06 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeTadeas Bertho to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Hlina above · Tadeas Bertho below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-2
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 84 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Tadeas Bertho at 62.5%
84 points played in total.
H2H Petr Hlina 1–3 Tadeas Bertho Petr Hlina has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:06What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Bertho
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Bertho
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hlina 1436 vs Bertho 1428
Hlina
Wrong
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hlina 100% vs Bertho 20%
Hlina
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hlina 70% vs Bertho 30%
Hlina
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hlina +5 · Bertho -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Bertho)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bertho form (20%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHlina 2.50 / Bertho 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Bertho)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13049625
Hlina2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog35% won 9 of 26
Down 0–1, comes back24% 4 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Bertho1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite58% won 76 of 131
Up 2–0, closes it91% 41 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it78% 58 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeHlina1wins
AwayBertho3wins
2 of 4 to a deciderBertho leads 3–1, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHlinan = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayBertho100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hlina1Bertho3n = 4Bertho took 3 of 4
S2Hlina1Bertho3n = 4Bertho took 3 of 4
S3Hlina4Bertho0n = 4Hlina took 4 of 4
S4Hlina0Bertho4n = 4Bertho took 4 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricHlinaBerthoH − BBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match38.841.5−2.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHlinaBerthoBasisWin rate · lifetime78 / 149 vs 342 / 64752.4%52.9%78 / 149 vs 342 / 647Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.439.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BerthoHlina 2.50/Bertho 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Bertho · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Bertho won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 31 · 05:30P. Hlina—41111892T. Bertho—116211113
LApr 8 · 06:00P. Hlina—981141T. Bertho—11118113
WFeb 1 · 06:30P. Hlina—119116113T. Bertho—61171172
LNov 19 · 06:30P. Hlina—581181T. Bertho—11119113
P. Hlina10
LSep 7 · 07:30P. Hlina1.5311118652J. Mejzlik2.38681111113WSep 7 · 06:30P. Hlina1.831241211113O. Plyska1.83141110962WSep 7 · 05:30P. Hlina1.5311811113M. Vorel2.38511751WSep 2 · 16:28M. Vorel2.109870P. Hlina1.671111113LSep 2 · 15:30P. Hlina2.00111178132V. Toman1.73861111153WSep 2 · 14:30P. Hlina1.8071111113M. Vorel1.91118211LSep 2 · 13:30P. Hlina2.25991461L. Tuma1.57111112113LAug 31 · 09:03M. Vorel2.107111212113P. Hlina1.67118101462WAug 31 · 07:30P. Hlina1.53118911113J. Puk2.3891111672WAug 31 · 06:30P. Hlina1.8314114123M. Vorel1.8312811101
T. Bertho10
LSep 6 · 12:31T. Bertho1.6791060S. Kalensky2.071112113LSep 6 · 12:00J. Juppa1.571111113T. Bertho2.257990WSep 6 · 11:00S. Kalensky1.8341191192T. Bertho1.83118119113LSep 6 · 09:30V. Herrmann1.83111011113T. Bertho1.83512931WSep 2 · 09:03T. Bertho1.61117139113J. Hanacek2.20911111162LSep 2 · 08:00J. Hanacek2.7511116113T. Bertho1.40981161LSep 2 · 07:00O. Plyska2.1011611113T. Bertho1.67911881WSep 2 · 05:30M. Vana1.83881181T. Bertho1.8311118113WSep 1 · 17:08K. Farsky1.8081151352T. Bertho1.911131111113WSep 1 · 15:30F. Schmidtmayer2.759970T. Bertho1.401111113
Upcoming Matches
P. Hlina
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T. Bertho
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