TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13072977
Played Sep 4Finished
Michal Snizek
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012611611––––
Jaroslav Puk
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:52 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Puk to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Snizek above · Jaroslav Puk below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 56 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Jaroslav Puk at 64.5%
56 points played in total.
H2H Michal Snizek 0–3 Jaroslav Puk Michal Snizek has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:52What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Puk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Puk
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Snizek 1352 vs Puk 1396
Puk
Correct
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Snizek 60% vs Puk 20%
Snizek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Snizek 50% vs Puk 10%
Snizek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Snizek +1 · Puk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Puk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Puk form (20%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSnizek 2.63 / Puk 1.44
Signal prob.36% / 65%
Edge (Puk)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13072977
Snizek2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 19 of 46
Down 0–1, comes back13% 3 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 14
Puk1.44
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 29 of 47
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it83% 24 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSnizek0wins
AwayPuk3wins
Puk leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSnizekn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayPuk100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Snizek0Puk3n = 3Puk took 3 of 3
S2Snizek1Puk2n = 3Puk took 2 of 3
S3Snizek1Puk2n = 3Puk took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricSnizekPukS − PBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match31.340.0−8.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSnizekPukBasisWin rate · lifetime174 / 334 vs 155 / 32052.1%48.4%174 / 334 vs 155 / 320Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PukSnizek 2.63/Puk 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Puk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Puk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 4 · 06:30M. Snizek—10660J. Puk—1211113
LMar 18 · 07:30M. Snizek—10101171J. Puk—12126113
LMar 13 · 07:15M. Snizek—4131071J. Puk—111112113
M. Snizek10
WSep 4 · 08:53P. Moulis2.3831111892M. Snizek1.53118611113LSep 4 · 07:30M. Snizek2.2061151172M. Vorel1.61117118113WSep 4 · 05:30M. Snizek1.6111116113P. Moulis2.20561151LAug 29 · 21:05M. Snizek1.44911471M. Cmil2.6311511113WAug 29 · 20:00M. Snizek1.8381111113P. Moulis1.83117371WAug 29 · 18:30M. Cmil1.57118661M. Snizek2.2531111113LAug 29 · 18:00J. Seeman2.7551111113M. Snizek1.40114681WAug 27 · 08:33M. Cmil2.386760M. Snizek1.531111113LAug 27 · 07:30M. Holub2.0081211113M. Snizek1.731110881WAug 27 · 07:00M. Snizek1.611311113M. Cmil2.2011360
J. Puk10
WSep 4 · 09:23J. Puk1.83119116133M. Vorel1.83611711112LSep 4 · 08:00J. Puk1.6711141110142P. Moulis2.10816912163LSep 4 · 06:00M. Vorel1.836111110113J. Puk1.8311891252WAug 31 · 08:34T. Bertho1.61511791J. Puk2.2011711113LAug 31 · 07:30P. Hlina1.53118911113J. Puk2.3891111672LAug 31 · 07:00J. Puk2.10158100T. Bertho1.671711123LAug 31 · 06:00J. Puk2.0061111822M. Vorel1.73118611113LAug 25 · 09:03M. Vorel1.738111113113J. Puk2.0011431582LAug 25 · 08:00J. Puk1.804611101M. Vorel1.9111116123LAug 25 · 06:30P. Hlina1.6711116113J. Puk2.10661191
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