TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13051494
Played Aug 31Finished
Tadeas Bertho
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511117711911––
Jaroslav Puk
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 8
How it is goingTadeas Bertho above · Jaroslav Puk below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 72 set 4, 9-11
72 points played in total.
H2H Tadeas Bertho 20–16 Jaroslav Puk Jaroslav Puk has won 16 of their 36 meetings.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Bertho)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Puk form (0%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBertho 1.61 / Puk 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Bertho)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13051494
Bertho1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite58% won 76 of 131
Up 2–0, closes it91% 41 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it78% 58 of 74
Puk2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 38 of 96
Down 0–1, comes back25% 14 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBertho6wins
AwayPuk4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBertho leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBertho83.3%5 of 6
AwayPuk75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bertho6Puk4n = 10Bertho took 6 of 10
S2Bertho2Puk8n = 10Puk took 8 of 10
S3Bertho6Puk4n = 10Bertho took 6 of 10
S4Bertho3Puk4n = 7Puk took 4 of 7
S5Bertho3Puk0n = 3Bertho took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBerthoPukB − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.437.0+1.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBerthoPukBasisWin rate · lifetime343 / 649 vs 152 / 31552.9%48.3%343 / 649 vs 152 / 315Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.738.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BerthoBertho 1.61/Puk 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Bertho · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Puk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 07:00T. Bertho—1711123J. Puk—158100
WMay 4 · 05:30T. Bertho—491111113J. Puk—11112352
WApr 30 · 08:44T. Bertho—127125113J. Puk—1011101162
LApr 30 · 07:00T. Bertho—10890J. Puk—1211113
WApr 24 · 07:00T. Bertho—111175133J. Puk—881111112
LApr 10 · 11:30T. Bertho—9870J. Puk—1111113
WNov 26 · 06:30T. Bertho—11711113J. Puk—711491
LOct 17 · 06:45T. Bertho—1111971J. Puk—51311113
WOct 9 · 08:35T. Bertho—111011113J. Puk—512681
LOct 9 · 06:30T. Bertho—591171J. Puk—11116113
T. Bertho10
LSep 6 · 12:31T. Bertho1.6791060S. Kalensky2.071112113LSep 6 · 12:00J. Juppa1.571111113T. Bertho2.257990WSep 6 · 11:00S. Kalensky1.8341191192T. Bertho1.83118119113LSep 6 · 09:30V. Herrmann1.83111011113T. Bertho1.83512931WSep 2 · 09:03T. Bertho1.61117139113J. Hanacek2.20911111162LSep 2 · 08:00J. Hanacek2.7511116113T. Bertho1.40981161LSep 2 · 07:00O. Plyska2.1011611113T. Bertho1.67911881WSep 2 · 05:30M. Vana1.83881181T. Bertho1.8311118113WSep 1 · 17:08K. Farsky1.8081151352T. Bertho1.911131111113WSep 1 · 15:30F. Schmidtmayer2.759970T. Bertho1.401111113
J. Puk10
WSep 4 · 09:23J. Puk1.83119116133M. Vorel1.83611711112LSep 4 · 08:00J. Puk1.6711141110142P. Moulis2.10816912163WSep 4 · 06:30M. Snizek2.6310660J. Puk1.441211113LSep 4 · 06:00M. Vorel1.836111110113J. Puk1.8311891252LAug 31 · 07:30P. Hlina1.53118911113J. Puk2.3891111672LAug 31 · 07:00J. Puk2.10158100T. Bertho1.671711123LAug 31 · 06:00J. Puk2.0061111822M. Vorel1.73118611113LAug 25 · 09:03M. Vorel1.738111113113J. Puk2.0011431582LAug 25 · 08:00J. Puk1.804611101M. Vorel1.9111116123LAug 25 · 06:30P. Hlina1.6711116113J. Puk2.10661191
Upcoming Matches
T. Bertho
J. Puk
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