TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037821
Played Aug 29Finished
Jan Seeman
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
511114116118––
Michal Snizek
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:15 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Snizek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJan Seeman above · Michal Snizek below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 67 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Michal Snizek at 54.0%
67 points played in total.
H2H Jan Seeman 4–3 Michal Snizek Michal Snizek has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:15What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Snizek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Seeman 1288 vs Snizek 1378
Snizek
Wrong
both rated, 90 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Seeman 60% vs Snizek 40%
Seeman
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Seeman 30% vs Snizek 50%
Snizek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Seeman +1 · Snizek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Snizek) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Snizek form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSeeman 2.75 / Snizek 1.40
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Snizek)-0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13037821
Seeman2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 31 of 86
Down 0–1, comes back26% 12 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 21
Snizek1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 44 of 80
Up 2–0, closes it87% 20 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it73% 27 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeSeeman4wins
AwaySnizek3wins
1 of 7 to a deciderSeeman leads 4–3, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSeeman80%4 of 5
AwaySnizekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Seeman5Snizek2n = 7Seeman took 5 of 7
S2Seeman2Snizek5n = 7Snizek took 5 of 7
S3Seeman3Snizek4n = 7Snizek took 4 of 7
S4Seeman2Snizek2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricSeemanSnizekSeeman − SnizekBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match34.934.0+0.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSeemanSnizekBasisWin rate · lifetime131 / 273 vs 170 / 32648%52.2%131 / 273 vs 170 / 326Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.237.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SnizekSeeman 2.75/Snizek 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.9%
Snizek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Seeman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 23 · 18:00J. Seeman—1111113M. Snizek—5850
LAug 16 · 13:30J. Seeman—1189101M. Snizek—61111123
LJul 19 · 09:03J. Seeman—5430M. Snizek—1111113
WJul 19 · 06:00J. Seeman—11811113M. Snizek—611861
WJul 5 · 12:19J. Seeman—1161111113M. Snizek—81191392
WJul 5 · 10:45J. Seeman—111110113M. Snizek—841251
LMar 8 · 13:00J. Seeman—105120M. Snizek—1211143
J. Seeman10
WSep 3 · 12:58J. Seeman2.0011119113J. Jnr1.73681171WSep 3 · 12:00J. Jnr1.5791090J. Seeman2.251112113LSep 3 · 11:00J. Krejcik2.001111113J. Seeman1.733940WSep 3 · 09:30J. Blazek2.0092111162J. Seeman1.73111199113LAug 31 · 13:03J. Seeman1.9175111112D. Sabuka1.80111186113WAug 31 · 12:00J. Krejcik1.57713591J. Seeman2.25111111113WAug 31 · 11:00D. Sabuka1.678117111J. Seeman2.1011711133WAug 31 · 09:30V. Kucala2.25511991J. Seeman1.5711811113WAug 30 · 12:39J. Seeman1.57691111113V. Kucala2.2511116582LAug 30 · 12:00D. Sabuka1.67111175143J. Seeman2.10871111122
M. Snizek10
WSep 4 · 08:53P. Moulis2.3831111892M. Snizek1.53118611113LSep 4 · 07:30M. Snizek2.2061151172M. Vorel1.61117118113LSep 4 · 06:30M. Snizek2.6310660J. Puk1.441211113WSep 4 · 05:30M. Snizek1.6111116113P. Moulis2.20561151LAug 29 · 21:05M. Snizek1.44911471M. Cmil2.6311511113WAug 29 · 20:00M. Snizek1.8381111113P. Moulis1.83117371WAug 29 · 18:30M. Cmil1.57118661M. Snizek2.2531111113WAug 27 · 08:33M. Cmil2.386760M. Snizek1.531111113LAug 27 · 07:30M. Holub2.0081211113M. Snizek1.731110881WAug 27 · 07:00M. Snizek1.611311113M. Cmil2.2011360
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