TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13029257
Played Aug 27Finished
Marcel Cmil
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611711611––––
Michal Snizek
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingMarcel Cmil above · Michal Snizek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 52 set 3, 6-11
52 points played in total.
H2H Marcel Cmil 16–20 Michal Snizek Marcel Cmil has won 16 of their 36 meetings.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Snizek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Snizek form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCmil 2.38 / Snizek 1.53
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Snizek)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13029257
Cmil2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog47% won 64 of 136
Down 0–1, comes back31% 23 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 40
Snizek1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 42 of 76
Up 2–0, closes it86% 18 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it74% 25 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCmil4wins
AwaySnizek6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSnizek leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCmil80%4 of 5
AwaySnizek100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cmil5Snizek5n = 10split evenly
S2Cmil6Snizek4n = 10Cmil took 6 of 10
S3Cmil5Snizek5n = 10split evenly
S4Cmil2Snizek4n = 6Snizek took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricCmilSnizekC − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.934.8+0.1per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCmilSnizekBasisWin rate · lifetime367 / 681 vs 169 / 32553.9%52%367 / 681 vs 169 / 325Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.437.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SnizekCmil 2.38/Snizek 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.6%
Snizek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Snizek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 27 · 07:00M. Cmil—11360M. Snizek—1311113
LAug 20 · 08:00M. Cmil—861161M. Snizek—11119113
LJul 16 · 06:00M. Cmil—12117852M. Snizek—1061111113
LJul 12 · 11:15M. Cmil—10101161M. Snizek—12122113
WApr 20 · 09:03M. Cmil—1411113M. Snizek—12780
WApr 20 · 08:00M. Cmil—1111113M. Snizek—4490
WApr 6 · 08:33M. Cmil—11119113M. Snizek—451151
WApr 6 · 07:30M. Cmil—11118113M. Snizek—691171
LApr 5 · 16:39M. Cmil—91111682M. Snizek—118911113
LApr 5 · 13:30M. Cmil—6780M. Snizek—1111113
M. Cmil10
WSep 5 · 13:08L. Krutina1.8511119972M. Cmil1.85791111113WSep 5 · 11:30A. Akopyan2.253650M. Cmil1.571111113WSep 5 · 11:00M. Cmil2.00951111113M. Holub1.7311119562LSep 5 · 10:00M. Cmil1.8311811892L. Krutina1.83911911113WSep 3 · 08:34M. Cmil1.50312711113J. Vrnak2.50111011562LSep 3 · 08:00M. Cmil1.807111191L. Krutina1.9111137113WSep 3 · 06:30J. Vrnak2.50911771M. Cmil1.5011211113LSep 3 · 06:00A. Skyba2.381411611113M. Cmil1.5316811972LSep 1 · 09:14M. Cmil1.61971171M. Cervenka2.2011117113WSep 1 · 08:00M. Cmil1.731111114143D. Sabuka2.00613911122
M. Snizek10
WSep 4 · 08:53P. Moulis2.3831111892M. Snizek1.53118611113LSep 4 · 07:30M. Snizek2.2061151172M. Vorel1.61117118113LSep 4 · 06:30M. Snizek2.6310660J. Puk1.441211113WSep 4 · 05:30M. Snizek1.6111116113P. Moulis2.20561151LAug 29 · 21:05M. Snizek1.44911471M. Cmil2.6311511113WAug 29 · 20:00M. Snizek1.8381111113P. Moulis1.83117371WAug 29 · 18:30M. Cmil1.57118661M. Snizek2.2531111113LAug 29 · 18:00J. Seeman2.7551111113M. Snizek1.40114681LAug 27 · 07:30M. Holub2.0081211113M. Snizek1.731110881WAug 27 · 07:00M. Snizek1.611311113M. Cmil2.2011360
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