TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12333698
Played Jul 31Finished
Radek Slunecko
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
4116111191210115
Josef Hanacek
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:39 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadek Slunecko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadek Slunecko above · Josef Hanacek below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 90 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Radek Slunecko at 54.0%
90 points played in total.
H2H Radek Slunecko 1–2 Josef Hanacek Radek Slunecko has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:39What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Slunecko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slunecko 1454 vs Hanacek 1468
Hanacek
Wrong
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slunecko 40% vs Hanacek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slunecko 60% vs Hanacek 40%
Slunecko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Slunecko -1 · Hanacek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Slunecko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hanacek form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlunecko 1.80 / Hanacek 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Slunecko)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #12333698
Slunecko1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 20 of 36
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it82% 14 of 17
Hanacek1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 29 of 71
Down 0–1, comes back18% 7 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSlunecko1wins
AwayHanacek2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderHanacek leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slunecko1Hanacek2n = 3Hanacek took 2 of 3
S2Slunecko2Hanacek1n = 3Slunecko took 2 of 3
S3Slunecko2Hanacek1n = 3Slunecko took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricSluneckoHanacekS − HBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match30.334.3−4.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSluneckoHanacekBasisWin rate · lifetime73 / 150 vs 176 / 34248.7%51.5%73 / 150 vs 176 / 342Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.139.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SluneckoSlunecko 1.80/Hanacek 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Slunecko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Slunecko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LJul 17 · 09:15R. Slunecko—411111102J. Hanacek—118811123
WFeb 15 · 17:32R. Slunecko—1111133J. Hanacek—55110
LFeb 15 · 15:15R. Slunecko—8740J. Hanacek—1111103
R. Slunecko10
LSep 1 · 13:09M. Vorel1.4011115113R. Slunecko2.75961171WSep 1 · 11:30R. Slunecko1.6711911113J. Jnr2.10911491WSep 1 · 10:30R. Slunecko1.57911911113M. Melisek2.2511911832LSep 1 · 09:30R. Slunecko2.75711291M. Vorel1.4011611113LAug 26 · 12:28A. Dvoracek2.501111113R. Slunecko1.507750LAug 26 · 11:30R. Slunecko1.80117101552J. Hanacek1.916111213113WAug 26 · 10:30R. Slunecko1.4411811113A. Dvoracek2.63911861LAug 26 · 09:30R. Slunecko1.7378111162F. Kubos2.00111149113LJul 31 · 12:24J. Seeman3.0011411113R. Slunecko1.36411851WJul 31 · 11:15R. Slunecko1.5011143113J. Seeman2.505121131
J. Hanacek10
WSep 5 · 16:29J. Hanacek4.00116117113L. Hendrych1.2251141152LSep 5 · 16:00F. Kubos1.801111103J. Hanacek1.915870LSep 5 · 13:30L. Hendrych1.251111113J. Hanacek3.759690LSep 3 · 12:23J. Hanacek2.201011110J. Marhol1.611213133LSep 3 · 11:45O. Plyska1.67117111113J. Hanacek2.1041181192LSep 3 · 10:45M. Vana1.501112114113J. Hanacek2.5091471192WSep 3 · 09:15J. Marhol1.57121211982J. Hanacek2.251014711113LSep 2 · 09:03T. Bertho1.61117139113J. Hanacek2.20911111162WSep 2 · 08:00J. Hanacek2.7511116113T. Bertho1.40981161WAug 26 · 11:30R. Slunecko1.80117101552J. Hanacek1.916111213113
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