TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055483
Played Sep 1Finished
Radek Slunecko
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911119911118113
Marian Melisek
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:08 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeRadek Slunecko to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadek Slunecko above · Marian Melisek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-3
Point 93 set 5, 11-3 — our read held Radek Slunecko at 58.9%
93 points played in total.
H2H Radek Slunecko 3–2 Marian Melisek Marian Melisek has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:08What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Slunecko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slunecko 1423 vs Melisek 1393
Slunecko
Correct
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slunecko 20% vs Melisek 40%
Melisek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slunecko 40% vs Melisek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Slunecko -3 · Melisek +1
Slunecko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Slunecko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slunecko form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlunecko 1.57 / Melisek 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Slunecko)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13055483
Slunecko1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite53% won 19 of 36
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it78% 14 of 18
Melisek2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 62 of 146
Down 0–1, comes back24% 17 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeSlunecko3wins
AwayMelisek2wins
4 of 5 to a deciderSlunecko leads 3–2, and 4 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSluneckon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayMelisek33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slunecko2Melisek3n = 5Melisek took 3 of 5
S2Slunecko2Melisek3n = 5Melisek took 3 of 5
S3Slunecko4Melisek1n = 5Slunecko took 4 of 5
S4Slunecko3Melisek2n = 5Slunecko took 3 of 5
S5Slunecko2Melisek2n = 4split evenly
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home240%
2–3Decider, away240%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricSluneckoMelisekS − MBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match46.442.4+4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSluneckoMelisekBasisWin rate · lifetime76 / 155 vs 223 / 46449%48.1%76 / 155 vs 223 / 464Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.038.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SluneckoSlunecko 1.57/Melisek 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Slunecko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Slunecko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 1 · 10:30R. Slunecko—911911113M. Melisek—11911832
WJun 9 · 10:15R. Slunecko—1110116113M. Melisek—31251172
LApr 28 · 10:30R. Slunecko—66121182M. Melisek—1111105113
WApr 9 · 09:30R. Slunecko—91111113M. Melisek—119671
LFeb 15 · 16:45R. Slunecko—135111082M. Melisek—1111612113
R. Slunecko10
LSep 1 · 13:09M. Vorel1.4011115113R. Slunecko2.75961171WSep 1 · 11:30R. Slunecko1.6711911113J. Jnr2.10911491LSep 1 · 09:30R. Slunecko2.75711291M. Vorel1.4011611113LAug 26 · 12:28A. Dvoracek2.501111113R. Slunecko1.507750LAug 26 · 11:30R. Slunecko1.80117101552J. Hanacek1.916111213113WAug 26 · 10:30R. Slunecko1.4411811113A. Dvoracek2.63911861LAug 26 · 09:30R. Slunecko1.7378111162F. Kubos2.00111149113LJul 31 · 12:24J. Seeman3.0011411113R. Slunecko1.36411851WJul 31 · 11:15R. Slunecko1.5011143113J. Seeman2.505121131WJul 31 · 10:15R. Slunecko1.80461112113J. Hanacek1.91111191052
M. Melisek10
WSep 1 · 12:38M. Melisek1.6191211113J. Jnr2.201110871LSep 1 · 12:00M. Melisek2.2011811842M. Vorel1.61511311113WSep 1 · 10:00J. Jnr1.735890M. Melisek2.001111113LAug 30 · 16:33J. Hanacek1.53891211113M. Melisek2.38111110622WAug 30 · 15:30M. Melisek2.75611126143P. Abraham1.401181011122LAug 30 · 14:30M. Melisek2.50117761A. Dvoracek1.5021111113LAug 30 · 13:30M. Melisek2.20612761J. Hanacek1.61111011113WAug 28 · 12:54M. Vorel1.5311581282M. Melisek2.384111110113WAug 28 · 11:15J. Blazek1.8311161152M. Melisek1.83119118113WAug 28 · 10:45M. Melisek2.3811712113J. Hanacek1.535111081
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