TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13035805
Played Aug 28Finished
Martin Vorel
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1145118111210811
Marian Melisek
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingMartin Vorel above · Marian Melisek below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 91 set 5, 8-11
91 points played in total.
H2H Martin Vorel 20–12 Marian Melisek Marian Melisek has won 12 of their 32 meetings.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Vorel)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vorel form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVorel 1.53 / Melisek 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Vorel)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13035805
Vorel1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 97 of 176
Up 2–0, closes it90% 43 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it78% 71 of 91
Melisek2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 58 of 138
Down 0–1, comes back22% 15 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVorel6wins
AwayMelisek4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderVorel leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVorel60%3 of 5
AwayMelisek40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vorel5Melisek5n = 10split evenly
S2Vorel4Melisek6n = 10Melisek took 6 of 10
S3Vorel4Melisek6n = 10Melisek took 6 of 10
S4Vorel6Melisek3n = 9Vorel took 6 of 9
S5Vorel3Melisek1n = 4Vorel took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVorelMelisekV − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.639.3+0.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVorelMelisekBasisWin rate · lifetime412 / 794 vs 224 / 46551.9%48.2%412 / 794 vs 224 / 465Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VorelVorel 1.53/Melisek 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.2%
Vorel · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Melisek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 28 · 09:45M. Vorel—118611143M. Melisek—311118122
LMay 15 · 13:04M. Vorel—1111101172M. Melisek—491213113
LMay 15 · 10:00M. Vorel—66100M. Melisek—1111123
WMay 11 · 12:59M. Vorel—81111113M. Melisek—117291
LMay 11 · 11:00M. Vorel—811681M. Melisek—11411113
WMay 4 · 10:30M. Vorel—11111113M. Melisek—611571
WApr 15 · 12:28M. Vorel—661111113M. Melisek—11117982
LApr 15 · 10:00M. Vorel—186961M. Melisek—161111113
WApr 9 · 13:04M. Vorel—11116113M. Melisek—771161
WApr 9 · 12:00M. Vorel—551111113M. Melisek—11118952
M. Vorel10
LSep 7 · 08:00O. Plyska2.101151213113M. Vorel1.67511141192LSep 7 · 07:00J. Mejzlik2.001091111113M. Vorel1.7312119982LSep 7 · 05:30P. Hlina1.5311811113M. Vorel2.38511751LSep 4 · 09:23J. Puk1.83119116133M. Vorel1.83611711112WSep 4 · 07:30M. Snizek2.2061151172M. Vorel1.61117118113WSep 4 · 07:00M. Vorel1.3681111113P. Moulis3.00113531WSep 4 · 06:00M. Vorel1.836111110113J. Puk1.8311891252LSep 2 · 16:28M. Vorel2.109870P. Hlina1.671111113LSep 2 · 16:00M. Vorel1.7377120L. Tuma2.001111143LSep 2 · 14:30P. Hlina1.8071111113M. Vorel1.91118211
M. Melisek10
WSep 1 · 12:38M. Melisek1.6191211113J. Jnr2.201110871LSep 1 · 12:00M. Melisek2.2011811842M. Vorel1.61511311113LSep 1 · 10:30R. Slunecko1.57911911113M. Melisek2.2511911832WSep 1 · 10:00J. Jnr1.735890M. Melisek2.001111113LAug 30 · 16:33J. Hanacek1.53891211113M. Melisek2.38111110622WAug 30 · 15:30M. Melisek2.75611126143P. Abraham1.401181011122LAug 30 · 14:30M. Melisek2.50117761A. Dvoracek1.5021111113LAug 30 · 13:30M. Melisek2.20612761J. Hanacek1.61111011113WAug 28 · 11:15J. Blazek1.8311161152M. Melisek1.83119118113WAug 28 · 10:45M. Melisek2.3811712113J. Hanacek1.535111081
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