TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055309
Played Sep 1Finished
Marian Melisek
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
115811113811411
Martin Vorel
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:38 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeMartin Vorel to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarian Melisek above · Martin Vorel below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 83 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Martin Vorel at 58.1%
83 points played in total.
H2H Marian Melisek 13–20 Martin Vorel Marian Melisek has won 13 of their 33 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:38What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Vorel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-20 in 33
Vorel
Correct
gap of 7 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Melisek 1393 vs Vorel 1426
Vorel
Correct
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Melisek 40% vs Vorel 60%
Vorel
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Melisek 50% vs Vorel 70%
Vorel
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Melisek -1 · Vorel -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Vorel)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMelisek 2.20 / Vorel 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Vorel)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13055309
Melisek2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 62 of 146
Down 0–1, comes back24% 17 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 28
Vorel1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite56% won 99 of 177
Up 2–0, closes it90% 43 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it78% 73 of 94
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMelisek5wins
AwayVorel5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMelisek50%2 of 4
AwayVorel50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Melisek4Vorel6n = 10Vorel took 6 of 10
S2Melisek6Vorel4n = 10Melisek took 6 of 10
S3Melisek7Vorel3n = 10Melisek took 7 of 10
S4Melisek3Vorel6n = 9Vorel took 6 of 9
S5Melisek2Vorel2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMelisekVorelM − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.639.7−0.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMelisekVorelBasisWin rate · lifetime223 / 464 vs 412 / 79248.1%52%223 / 464 vs 412 / 792Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.839.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VorelMelisek 2.20/Vorel 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.1%
Vorel · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vorel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 28 · 12:54M. Melisek—4111110113M. Vorel—11581282
LAug 28 · 09:45M. Melisek—311118122M. Vorel—118611143
WMay 15 · 13:04M. Melisek—491213113M. Vorel—1111101172
WMay 15 · 10:00M. Melisek—1111123M. Vorel—66100
LMay 11 · 12:59M. Melisek—117291M. Vorel—81111113
WMay 11 · 11:00M. Melisek—11411113M. Vorel—811681
LMay 4 · 10:30M. Melisek—611571M. Vorel—11111113
LApr 15 · 12:28M. Melisek—11117982M. Vorel—661111113
WApr 15 · 10:00M. Melisek—161111113M. Vorel—186961
LApr 9 · 13:04M. Melisek—771161M. Vorel—11116113
M. Melisek10
WSep 1 · 12:38M. Melisek1.6191211113J. Jnr2.201110871LSep 1 · 10:30R. Slunecko1.57911911113M. Melisek2.2511911832WSep 1 · 10:00J. Jnr1.735890M. Melisek2.001111113LAug 30 · 16:33J. Hanacek1.53891211113M. Melisek2.38111110622WAug 30 · 15:30M. Melisek2.75611126143P. Abraham1.401181011122LAug 30 · 14:30M. Melisek2.50117761A. Dvoracek1.5021111113LAug 30 · 13:30M. Melisek2.20612761J. Hanacek1.61111011113WAug 28 · 12:54M. Vorel1.5311581282M. Melisek2.384111110113WAug 28 · 11:15J. Blazek1.8311161152M. Melisek1.83119118113WAug 28 · 10:45M. Melisek2.3811712113J. Hanacek1.535111081
M. Vorel10
LSep 7 · 08:00O. Plyska2.101151213113M. Vorel1.67511141192LSep 7 · 07:00J. Mejzlik2.001091111113M. Vorel1.7312119982LSep 7 · 05:30P. Hlina1.5311811113M. Vorel2.38511751LSep 4 · 09:23J. Puk1.83119116133M. Vorel1.83611711112WSep 4 · 07:30M. Snizek2.2061151172M. Vorel1.61117118113WSep 4 · 07:00M. Vorel1.3681111113P. Moulis3.00113531WSep 4 · 06:00M. Vorel1.836111110113J. Puk1.8311891252LSep 2 · 16:28M. Vorel2.109870P. Hlina1.671111113LSep 2 · 16:00M. Vorel1.7377120L. Tuma2.001111143LAug 28 · 12:54M. Vorel1.5311581282M. Melisek2.384111110113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.