TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13015221
Played Aug 26Finished
Radek Slunecko
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11671110121513511
Josef Hanacek
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:50 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadek Slunecko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingRadek Slunecko above · Josef Hanacek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 15-13
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 101 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Radek Slunecko at 54.0%
101 points played in total.
H2H Radek Slunecko 2–2 Josef Hanacek Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:50What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Slunecko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slunecko 1449 vs Hanacek 1497
Hanacek
Correct
both rated, 47 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slunecko 60% vs Hanacek 40%
Slunecko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slunecko 50% vs Hanacek 70%
Hanacek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Slunecko +1 · Hanacek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Slunecko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hanacek form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlunecko 1.80 / Hanacek 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Slunecko)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13015221
Slunecko1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 20 of 36
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it82% 14 of 17
Hanacek1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 47 of 101
Down 0–1, comes back30% 16 of 53
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSlunecko2wins
AwayHanacek2wins
2 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSluneckon = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayHanacek66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slunecko1Hanacek3n = 4Hanacek took 3 of 4
S2Slunecko2Hanacek2n = 4split evenly
S3Slunecko3Hanacek1n = 4Slunecko took 3 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricSluneckoHanacekS − HBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match33.837.2−3.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSluneckoHanacekBasisWin rate · lifetime75 / 151 vs 216 / 41249.7%52.4%75 / 151 vs 216 / 412Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.039.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SluneckoSlunecko 1.80/Hanacek 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Slunecko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hanacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WJul 31 · 10:15R. Slunecko—461112113J. Hanacek—111191052
LJul 17 · 09:15R. Slunecko—411111102J. Hanacek—118811123
WFeb 15 · 17:32R. Slunecko—1111133J. Hanacek—55110
LFeb 15 · 15:15R. Slunecko—8740J. Hanacek—1111103
R. Slunecko10
LSep 1 · 13:09M. Vorel1.4011115113R. Slunecko2.75961171WSep 1 · 11:30R. Slunecko1.6711911113J. Jnr2.10911491WSep 1 · 10:30R. Slunecko1.57911911113M. Melisek2.2511911832LSep 1 · 09:30R. Slunecko2.75711291M. Vorel1.4011611113LAug 26 · 12:28A. Dvoracek2.501111113R. Slunecko1.507750WAug 26 · 10:30R. Slunecko1.4411811113A. Dvoracek2.63911861LAug 26 · 09:30R. Slunecko1.7378111162F. Kubos2.00111149113LJul 31 · 12:24J. Seeman3.0011411113R. Slunecko1.36411851WJul 31 · 11:15R. Slunecko1.5011143113J. Seeman2.505121131WJul 31 · 10:15R. Slunecko1.80461112113J. Hanacek1.91111191052
J. Hanacek10
WSep 5 · 16:29J. Hanacek4.00116117113L. Hendrych1.2251141152LSep 5 · 16:00F. Kubos1.801111103J. Hanacek1.915870LSep 5 · 13:30L. Hendrych1.251111113J. Hanacek3.759690LSep 3 · 12:23J. Hanacek2.201011110J. Marhol1.611213133LSep 3 · 11:45O. Plyska1.67117111113J. Hanacek2.1041181192LSep 3 · 10:45M. Vana1.501112114113J. Hanacek2.5091471192WSep 3 · 09:15J. Marhol1.57121211982J. Hanacek2.251014711113LSep 2 · 09:03T. Bertho1.61117139113J. Hanacek2.20911111162WSep 2 · 08:00J. Hanacek2.7511116113T. Bertho1.40981161LJul 31 · 10:15R. Slunecko1.80461112113J. Hanacek1.91111191052
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