TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13044645
Played Aug 30Finished
Adam Dvoracek
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
611119411117115
Josef Hanacek
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:55 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdam Dvoracek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdam Dvoracek above · Josef Hanacek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 86 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Adam Dvoracek at 54.0%
86 points played in total.
H2H Adam Dvoracek 14–12 Josef Hanacek Josef Hanacek has won 12 of their 26 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:55What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Dvoracek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-12 in 26
Dvoracek
Correct
gap of 2 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dvoracek 1456 vs Hanacek 1492
Hanacek
Wrong
both rated, 36 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dvoracek 60% vs Hanacek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dvoracek 60% vs Hanacek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dvoracek +1 · Hanacek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dvoracek)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDvoracek 1.80 / Hanacek 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Dvoracek)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13044645
Dvoracek1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 73 of 128
Up 2–0, closes it97% 35 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it71% 55 of 77
Hanacek1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog48% won 51 of 106
Down 0–1, comes back33% 18 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDvoracek5wins
AwayHanacek5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDvoracek62.5%5 of 8
AwayHanacekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dvoracek8Hanacek2n = 10Dvoracek took 8 of 10
S2Dvoracek4Hanacek6n = 10Hanacek took 6 of 10
S3Dvoracek4Hanacek6n = 10Hanacek took 6 of 10
S4Dvoracek6Hanacek1n = 7Dvoracek took 6 of 7
S5Dvoracek0Hanacek3n = 3Hanacek took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDvoracekHanacekD − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.037.3+1.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDvoracekHanacekBasisWin rate · lifetime255 / 476 vs 222 / 42453.6%52.4%255 / 476 vs 222 / 424Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.239.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DvoracekDvoracek 1.80/Hanacek 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Dvoracek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Dvoracek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 29 · 16:59A. Dvoracek—12119103J. Hanacek—1091141
LAug 29 · 16:00A. Dvoracek—12861162J. Hanacek—1011112113
WAug 26 · 10:00A. Dvoracek—11119113J. Hanacek—661181
LAug 21 · 12:00A. Dvoracek—11951162J. Hanacek—611117113
LAug 19 · 20:48A. Dvoracek—961761J. Hanacek—111115113
WAug 19 · 19:45A. Dvoracek—12912123J. Hanacek—101110101
WAug 18 · 13:00A. Dvoracek—1412143J. Hanacek—1210120
WAug 18 · 10:00A. Dvoracek—1111113J. Hanacek—5730
LAug 16 · 15:45A. Dvoracek—9880J. Hanacek—1111113
LAug 15 · 12:30A. Dvoracek—11591142J. Hanacek—711116113
A. Dvoracek10
LSep 6 · 20:33A. Dvoracek1.807860K. Farsky1.911111113WSep 6 · 20:00A. Dvoracek2.20713119123K. Jirousek1.611111711102LSep 6 · 18:30J. Pina1.9111611143A. Dvoracek1.808118121WSep 6 · 18:00K. Farsky1.731472101A. Dvoracek2.00121111123LAug 30 · 17:05A. Dvoracek3.007960P. Abraham1.361111103WAug 30 · 14:30M. Melisek2.50117761A. Dvoracek1.5021111113LAug 30 · 14:00P. Abraham1.3611101211113A. Dvoracek3.0051214882WAug 29 · 16:59J. Hanacek1.801091141A. Dvoracek1.9112119103LAug 29 · 16:00A. Dvoracek1.8012861162J. Hanacek1.911011112113WAug 29 · 14:30O. Plyska1.5311913872A. Dvoracek2.38411111183
J. Hanacek10
WSep 5 · 16:29J. Hanacek4.00116117113L. Hendrych1.2251141152LSep 5 · 16:00F. Kubos1.801111103J. Hanacek1.915870LSep 5 · 13:30L. Hendrych1.251111113J. Hanacek3.759690LSep 3 · 12:23J. Hanacek2.201011110J. Marhol1.611213133LSep 3 · 11:45O. Plyska1.67117111113J. Hanacek2.1041181192LSep 3 · 10:45M. Vana1.501112114113J. Hanacek2.5091471192WSep 3 · 09:15J. Marhol1.57121211982J. Hanacek2.251014711113LSep 2 · 09:03T. Bertho1.61117139113J. Hanacek2.20911111162LAug 29 · 16:59J. Hanacek1.801091141A. Dvoracek1.9112119103WAug 29 · 16:00A. Dvoracek1.8012861162J. Hanacek1.911011112113
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