TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037705
Played Aug 29Finished
Oleh Plyska
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
114911131181178
Adam Dvoracek
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:51 and never touched — 63.2% is still 63.2%
Graded at full timeOleh Plyska to win
63.2%
63.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleh Plyska above · Adam Dvoracek below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 7-8
Point 93 set 5, 7-8 — our read held Oleh Plyska at 63.2%
93 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Plyska 9–4 Adam Dvoracek Adam Dvoracek has won 4 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:51What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Plyska
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-4 in 13
Plyska
Wrong
gap of 5 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Plyska 1508 vs Dvoracek 1433
Plyska
Wrong
both rated, 75 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Plyska 20% vs Dvoracek 60%
Dvoracek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Plyska 40% vs Dvoracek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Plyska -1 · Dvoracek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Plyska)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dvoracek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlyska 1.53 / Dvoracek 2.38
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Plyska)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13037705
Plyska1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 97 of 181
Up 2–0, closes it87% 45 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it63% 62 of 99
Dvoracek2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 52 of 121
Down 0–1, comes back27% 18 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePlyska8wins
AwayDvoracek2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPlyska leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlyska100%4 of 4
AwayDvoracek33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Plyska4Dvoracek6n = 10Dvoracek took 6 of 10
S2Plyska8Dvoracek2n = 10Plyska took 8 of 10
S3Plyska6Dvoracek4n = 10Plyska took 6 of 10
S4Plyska5Dvoracek2n = 7Plyska took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPlyskaDvoracekP − DBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.630.5+8.1per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlyskaDvoracekBasisWin rate · lifetime342 / 687 vs 252 / 47149.8%53.5%342 / 687 vs 252 / 471Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PlyskaPlyska 1.53/Dvoracek 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.2%
Plyska · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Dvoracek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 29 · 12:00O. Plyska—81111113A. Dvoracek—117751
LJul 25 · 20:00O. Plyska—9990A. Dvoracek—1111113
WJul 21 · 13:09O. Plyska—111111113A. Dvoracek—137751
WJul 21 · 10:00O. Plyska—1111710113A. Dvoracek—75111292
WJun 6 · 16:39O. Plyska—91111113A. Dvoracek—113711
WJun 6 · 14:00O. Plyska—811711113A. Dvoracek—11611292
WApr 27 · 16:29O. Plyska—1111113A. Dvoracek—6480
LApr 27 · 14:30O. Plyska—912481A. Dvoracek—111011113
WApr 18 · 17:14O. Plyska—11911113A. Dvoracek—611351
WApr 18 · 14:00O. Plyska—111143A. Dvoracek—9730
O. Plyska10
LSep 7 · 06:30P. Hlina1.831241211113O. Plyska1.83141110962LSep 7 · 06:00J. Mejzlik1.9191111113O. Plyska1.80115971WSep 3 · 12:54O. Plyska1.8311119113M. Vana1.83771171WSep 3 · 11:45O. Plyska1.67117111113J. Hanacek2.1041181192LSep 3 · 10:15J. Marhol1.6110121112143O. Plyska2.201214910122WSep 3 · 09:45M. Vana1.801186101O. Plyska1.9181111123LSep 2 · 08:33O. Plyska1.9111101111122M. Vana1.80812913143WSep 2 · 07:30M. Vana1.8011691162O. Plyska1.91711113113WSep 2 · 07:00O. Plyska2.1011611113T. Bertho1.67911881WSep 2 · 06:00O. Plyska1.9111118113J. Hanacek1.80641131
A. Dvoracek10
LSep 6 · 20:33A. Dvoracek1.807860K. Farsky1.911111113WSep 6 · 20:00A. Dvoracek2.20713119123K. Jirousek1.611111711102LSep 6 · 18:30J. Pina1.9111611143A. Dvoracek1.808118121WSep 6 · 18:00K. Farsky1.731472101A. Dvoracek2.00121111123LAug 30 · 17:05A. Dvoracek3.007960P. Abraham1.361111103WAug 30 · 16:00A. Dvoracek1.80611411113J. Hanacek1.9111911752WAug 30 · 14:30M. Melisek2.50117761A. Dvoracek1.5021111113LAug 30 · 14:00P. Abraham1.3611101211113A. Dvoracek3.0051214882WAug 29 · 16:59J. Hanacek1.801091141A. Dvoracek1.9112119103LAug 29 · 16:00A. Dvoracek1.8012861162J. Hanacek1.911011112113
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