TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13044634
Played Aug 30Finished
Petr Abraham
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11510121214118118
Adam Dvoracek
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:46 and never touched — 72.1% is still 72.1%
Graded at full timePetr Abraham to win
72.1%
72.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Abraham above · Adam Dvoracek below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 102 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Petr Abraham at 72.1%
102 points played in total.
H2H Petr Abraham 8–2 Adam Dvoracek Adam Dvoracek has won 2 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:46What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Abraham
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-2 in 10
Abraham
Correct
gap of 6 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Abraham 1509 vs Dvoracek 1484
Abraham
Correct
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Abraham 80% vs Dvoracek 60%
Abraham
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Abraham 80% vs Dvoracek 60%
Abraham
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Abraham +3 · Dvoracek +1
Abraham
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Abraham) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dvoracek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAbraham 1.36 / Dvoracek 3.00
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Abraham)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13044634
Abraham1.36
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 58 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it97% 33 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it85% 44 of 52
Dvoracek3.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 54 of 123
Down 0–1, comes back28% 19 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAbraham8wins
AwayDvoracek2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderAbraham leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAbraham88.9%8 of 9
AwayDvoracekn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Abraham9Dvoracek1n = 10Abraham took 9 of 10
S2Abraham9Dvoracek1n = 10Abraham took 9 of 10
S3Abraham7Dvoracek3n = 10Abraham took 7 of 10
S4Abraham2Dvoracek1n = 3Abraham took 2 of 3
S5Abraham1Dvoracek2n = 3Dvoracek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home770%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricAbrahamDvoracekA − DBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match37.828.7+9.1per matchSweeps70+73–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAbrahamDvoracekBasisWin rate · lifetime212 / 422 vs 256 / 47850.2%53.6%212 / 422 vs 256 / 478Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AbrahamAbraham 1.36/Dvoracek 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.2%
Abraham · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Abraham won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 17:05P. Abraham—1111103A. Dvoracek—7960
WAug 30 · 14:00P. Abraham—11101211113A. Dvoracek—51214882
LAug 23 · 07:00P. Abraham—81191152A. Dvoracek—119116113
WJul 19 · 16:13P. Abraham—1111113A. Dvoracek—7640
WJul 19 · 13:45P. Abraham—1111123A. Dvoracek—98100
LApr 12 · 11:15P. Abraham—131126142A. Dvoracek—1151111163
WApr 11 · 12:59P. Abraham—1111113A. Dvoracek—5960
WApr 11 · 12:00P. Abraham—1211113A. Dvoracek—10820
WApr 6 · 16:58P. Abraham—1211113A. Dvoracek—10530
WApr 6 · 16:00P. Abraham—1111113A. Dvoracek—4550
P. Abraham10
WAug 30 · 17:05A. Dvoracek3.007960P. Abraham1.361111103LAug 30 · 15:30M. Melisek2.75611126143P. Abraham1.401181011122WAug 30 · 15:00P. Abraham2.631112113J. Hanacek1.4451030WAug 26 · 17:00J. Marhol1.83119581P. Abraham1.8351111113WAug 26 · 16:00P. Abraham1.91114117113J. Marhol1.8061141132WAug 26 · 14:30V. Toman1.677111291P. Abraham2.10111310113LAug 26 · 14:00F. Schmidtmayer1.441111113P. Abraham2.639390WAug 23 · 08:59P. Abraham1.2511116113J. Pina3.75591191WAug 23 · 08:00P. Hlina2.753290P. Abraham1.401111113LAug 23 · 07:00A. Dvoracek3.75119116113P. Abraham1.2581191152
A. Dvoracek10
LSep 6 · 20:33A. Dvoracek1.807860K. Farsky1.911111113WSep 6 · 20:00A. Dvoracek2.20713119123K. Jirousek1.611111711102LSep 6 · 18:30J. Pina1.9111611143A. Dvoracek1.808118121WSep 6 · 18:00K. Farsky1.731472101A. Dvoracek2.00121111123LAug 30 · 17:05A. Dvoracek3.007960P. Abraham1.361111103WAug 30 · 16:00A. Dvoracek1.80611411113J. Hanacek1.9111911752WAug 30 · 14:30M. Melisek2.50117761A. Dvoracek1.5021111113WAug 29 · 16:59J. Hanacek1.801091141A. Dvoracek1.9112119103LAug 29 · 16:00A. Dvoracek1.8012861162J. Hanacek1.911011112113WAug 23 · 07:00A. Dvoracek3.75119116113P. Abraham1.2581191152
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