TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13044801
Played Aug 30Finished
Petr Abraham
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1151210113––––
Josef Hanacek
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:15 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeJosef Hanacek to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPetr Abraham above · Josef Hanacek below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 52 set 3, 11-3 — our read held Josef Hanacek at 64.5%
52 points played in total.
H2H Petr Abraham 0–3 Josef Hanacek Petr Abraham has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:15What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Hanacek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Hanacek
Wrong
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Abraham 1509 vs Hanacek 1458
Abraham
Correct
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Abraham 80% vs Hanacek 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Abraham 80% vs Hanacek 50%
Abraham
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Abraham +4 · Hanacek +1
Abraham
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Hanacek) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hanacek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAbraham 2.63 / Hanacek 1.44
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Hanacek)-4.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13044801
Abraham2.63
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog31% won 23 of 75
Down 0–1, comes back15% 8 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 29
Hanacek1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 66 of 120
Up 2–0, closes it90% 26 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it83% 45 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeAbraham0wins
AwayHanacek3wins
Hanacek leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAbrahamn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayHanacek100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Abraham0Hanacek3n = 3Hanacek took 3 of 3
S2Abraham1Hanacek2n = 3Hanacek took 2 of 3
S3Abraham0Hanacek3n = 3Hanacek took 3 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away267%
These 3 meetings
MetricAbrahamHanacekA − HBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match29.737.3−7.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAbrahamHanacekBasisWin rate · lifetime212 / 422 vs 223 / 42650.2%52.4%212 / 422 vs 223 / 426Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.539.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HanacekAbraham 2.63/Hanacek 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.1%
Hanacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Abraham won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LJul 18 · 17:09P. Abraham—11680J. Hanacek—1311113
LJul 18 · 14:00P. Abraham—9111161J. Hanacek—11813113
LMar 14 · 09:00P. Abraham—98100J. Hanacek—1111123
P. Abraham10
WAug 30 · 17:05A. Dvoracek3.007960P. Abraham1.361111103LAug 30 · 15:30M. Melisek2.75611126143P. Abraham1.401181011122WAug 30 · 14:00P. Abraham1.3611101211113A. Dvoracek3.0051214882WAug 26 · 17:00J. Marhol1.83119581P. Abraham1.8351111113WAug 26 · 16:00P. Abraham1.91114117113J. Marhol1.8061141132WAug 26 · 14:30V. Toman1.677111291P. Abraham2.10111310113LAug 26 · 14:00F. Schmidtmayer1.441111113P. Abraham2.639390WAug 23 · 08:59P. Abraham1.2511116113J. Pina3.75591191WAug 23 · 08:00P. Hlina2.753290P. Abraham1.401111113LAug 23 · 07:00A. Dvoracek3.75119116113P. Abraham1.2581191152
J. Hanacek10
WSep 5 · 16:29J. Hanacek4.00116117113L. Hendrych1.2251141152LSep 5 · 16:00F. Kubos1.801111103J. Hanacek1.915870LSep 5 · 13:30L. Hendrych1.251111113J. Hanacek3.759690LSep 3 · 12:23J. Hanacek2.201011110J. Marhol1.611213133LSep 3 · 11:45O. Plyska1.67117111113J. Hanacek2.1041181192LSep 3 · 10:45M. Vana1.501112114113J. Hanacek2.5091471192WSep 3 · 09:15J. Marhol1.57121211982J. Hanacek2.251014711113LSep 2 · 09:03T. Bertho1.61117139113J. Hanacek2.20911111162WSep 2 · 08:00J. Hanacek2.7511116113T. Bertho1.40981161LSep 2 · 06:30M. Vana1.53121114113J. Hanacek2.381051691
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