TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037560
Played Aug 29Finished
Adam Dvoracek
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1210811611112611
Josef Hanacek
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:56 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJosef Hanacek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdam Dvoracek above · Josef Hanacek below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-2
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 88 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Josef Hanacek at 54.0%
88 points played in total.
H2H Adam Dvoracek 13–11 Josef Hanacek Josef Hanacek has won 11 of their 24 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:56What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Dvoracek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-11 in 24
Dvoracek
Wrong
gap of 2 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dvoracek 1449 vs Hanacek 1493
Hanacek
Correct
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dvoracek 60% vs Hanacek 40%
Dvoracek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dvoracek 60% vs Hanacek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dvoracek +2 · Hanacek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hanacek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hanacek form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDvoracek 1.80 / Hanacek 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Hanacek)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13037560
Dvoracek1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 72 of 126
Up 2–0, closes it97% 35 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it72% 55 of 76
Hanacek1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 49 of 104
Down 0–1, comes back32% 17 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDvoracek5wins
AwayHanacek5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDvoracek62.5%5 of 8
AwayHanacekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dvoracek8Hanacek2n = 10Dvoracek took 8 of 10
S2Dvoracek3Hanacek7n = 10Hanacek took 7 of 10
S3Dvoracek4Hanacek6n = 10Hanacek took 6 of 10
S4Dvoracek5Hanacek2n = 7Dvoracek took 5 of 7
S5Dvoracek1Hanacek2n = 3Hanacek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDvoracekHanacekD − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.238.9+0.3per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDvoracekHanacekBasisWin rate · lifetime253 / 472 vs 220 / 42053.6%52.4%253 / 472 vs 220 / 420Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.239.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HanacekDvoracek 1.80/Hanacek 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Hanacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hanacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 26 · 10:00A. Dvoracek—11119113J. Hanacek—661181
LAug 21 · 12:00A. Dvoracek—11951162J. Hanacek—611117113
LAug 19 · 20:48A. Dvoracek—961761J. Hanacek—111115113
WAug 19 · 19:45A. Dvoracek—12912123J. Hanacek—101110101
WAug 18 · 13:00A. Dvoracek—1412143J. Hanacek—1210120
WAug 18 · 10:00A. Dvoracek—1111113J. Hanacek—5730
LAug 16 · 15:45A. Dvoracek—9880J. Hanacek—1111113
LAug 15 · 12:30A. Dvoracek—11591142J. Hanacek—711116113
WAug 15 · 09:30A. Dvoracek—116913133J. Hanacek—6111111112
LAug 7 · 13:03A. Dvoracek—149391J. Hanacek—121111113
A. Dvoracek10
LSep 6 · 20:33A. Dvoracek1.807860K. Farsky1.911111113WSep 6 · 20:00A. Dvoracek2.20713119123K. Jirousek1.611111711102LSep 6 · 18:30J. Pina1.9111611143A. Dvoracek1.808118121WSep 6 · 18:00K. Farsky1.731472101A. Dvoracek2.00121111123LAug 30 · 17:05A. Dvoracek3.007960P. Abraham1.361111103WAug 30 · 16:00A. Dvoracek1.80611411113J. Hanacek1.9111911752WAug 30 · 14:30M. Melisek2.50117761A. Dvoracek1.5021111113LAug 30 · 14:00P. Abraham1.3611101211113A. Dvoracek3.0051214882WAug 29 · 16:59J. Hanacek1.801091141A. Dvoracek1.9112119103WAug 29 · 14:30O. Plyska1.5311913872A. Dvoracek2.38411111183
J. Hanacek10
WSep 5 · 16:29J. Hanacek4.00116117113L. Hendrych1.2251141152LSep 5 · 16:00F. Kubos1.801111103J. Hanacek1.915870LSep 5 · 13:30L. Hendrych1.251111113J. Hanacek3.759690LSep 3 · 12:23J. Hanacek2.201011110J. Marhol1.611213133LSep 3 · 11:45O. Plyska1.67117111113J. Hanacek2.1041181192LSep 3 · 10:45M. Vana1.501112114113J. Hanacek2.5091471192WSep 3 · 09:15J. Marhol1.57121211982J. Hanacek2.251014711113LSep 2 · 09:03T. Bertho1.61117139113J. Hanacek2.20911111162LAug 30 · 16:00A. Dvoracek1.80611411113J. Hanacek1.9111911752LAug 29 · 16:59J. Hanacek1.801091141A. Dvoracek1.9112119103
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.