TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12410265
Played Aug 12Finished
David Sabuka
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114115116––––
Filip Fryml
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingDavid Sabuka above · Filip Fryml below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 48 set 3, 11-6
48 points played in total.
H2H David Sabuka 1–0 Filip Fryml Filip Fryml has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sabuka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sabuka form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSabuka 1.73 / Fryml 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sabuka)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #12410265
Sabuka1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite49% won 53 of 109
Up 2–0, closes it100% 22 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it73% 35 of 48
Fryml2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog49% won 17 of 35
Down 0–1, comes back33% 6 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back18% 2 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSabuka1wins
AwayFryml0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderSabuka leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSabukaFrymlS − FBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match43.043.00.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSabukaFrymlBasisWin rate · lifetime247 / 531 vs 66 / 13346.5%49.6%247 / 531 vs 66 / 133Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SabukaSabuka 1.73/Fryml 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sabuka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sabuka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 12 · 08:00D. Sabuka—111118123F. Fryml—651111102
D. Sabuka10
WSep 1 · 08:43D. Sabuka1.221111113A. Skyba4.007940LSep 1 · 08:00M. Cmil1.731111114143D. Sabuka2.00613911122WSep 1 · 07:00A. Skyba3.751111791D. Sabuka1.2513611113LSep 1 · 05:30M. Cervenka4.5011411133D. Sabuka1.178119111WAug 31 · 13:03J. Seeman1.9175111112D. Sabuka1.80111186113LAug 31 · 11:30V. Kucala2.20111011113D. Sabuka1.61912141LAug 31 · 11:00D. Sabuka1.678117111J. Seeman2.1011711133WAug 31 · 10:00D. Sabuka2.501111123J. Krejcik1.5037100LAug 30 · 13:09D. Sabuka2.5088111162P. Moulis1.50111185113WAug 30 · 12:00D. Sabuka1.67111175143J. Seeman2.10871111122
F. Fryml10
LAug 27 · 09:03F. Fryml1.835790M. Holub1.831111113WAug 27 · 08:00F. Fryml1.73101111113M. Cmil2.00127981LAug 27 · 06:30M. Holub1.808121110113F. Fryml1.91111061292WAug 27 · 06:00M. Snizek1.50771191F. Fryml2.5011114113WAug 26 · 08:39F. Fryml3.504101111113J. Krejcik1.2811129982LAug 26 · 07:30J. Krejcik1.611113113F. Fryml2.2061160WAug 26 · 07:00F. Fryml2.63111197113M. Snizek1.4447111192WAug 26 · 06:00F. Fryml2.6311611113P. Cizek1.44711671LAug 12 · 08:00F. Fryml1.57651111102D. Sabuka2.25111118123WAug 12 · 06:30M. Holub1.6179111182F. Fryml2.20111163113
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