TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12406773
Played Aug 12Finished
Filip Fryml
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
6115111111181012
David Sabuka
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:26 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFilip Fryml to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingFilip Fryml above · David Sabuka below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-1
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 86 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Filip Fryml at 54.0%
86 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:26What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Fryml
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Fryml 1315 vs Sabuka 1262
Fryml
Wrong
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fryml 40% vs Sabuka 20%
Fryml
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fryml 40% vs Sabuka 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Fryml +1 · Sabuka -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Fryml) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sabuka form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFryml 1.57 / Sabuka 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Fryml)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12406773
Fryml1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 30 of 47
Up 2–0, closes it94% 16 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it85% 22 of 26
Sabuka2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog29% won 32 of 109
Down 0–1, comes back15% 11 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricFrymlSabukaBasisWin rate · lifetime66 / 132 vs 246 / 53050%46.4%66 / 132 vs 246 / 530Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FrymlFryml 1.57/Sabuka 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Fryml · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sabuka won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
F. Fryml10
LAug 27 · 09:03F. Fryml1.835790M. Holub1.831111113WAug 27 · 08:00F. Fryml1.73101111113M. Cmil2.00127981LAug 27 · 06:30M. Holub1.808121110113F. Fryml1.91111061292WAug 27 · 06:00M. Snizek1.50771191F. Fryml2.5011114113WAug 26 · 08:39F. Fryml3.504101111113J. Krejcik1.2811129982LAug 26 · 07:30J. Krejcik1.611113113F. Fryml2.2061160WAug 26 · 07:00F. Fryml2.63111197113M. Snizek1.4447111192WAug 26 · 06:00F. Fryml2.6311611113P. Cizek1.44711671LAug 12 · 09:03D. Sabuka1.731111113F. Fryml2.004560WAug 12 · 06:30M. Holub1.6179111182F. Fryml2.20111163113
D. Sabuka10
WSep 1 · 08:43D. Sabuka1.221111113A. Skyba4.007940LSep 1 · 08:00M. Cmil1.731111114143D. Sabuka2.00613911122WSep 1 · 07:00A. Skyba3.751111791D. Sabuka1.2513611113LSep 1 · 05:30M. Cervenka4.5011411133D. Sabuka1.178119111WAug 31 · 13:03J. Seeman1.9175111112D. Sabuka1.80111186113LAug 31 · 11:30V. Kucala2.20111011113D. Sabuka1.61912141LAug 31 · 11:00D. Sabuka1.678117111J. Seeman2.1011711133WAug 31 · 10:00D. Sabuka2.501111123J. Krejcik1.5037100LAug 30 · 13:09D. Sabuka2.5088111162P. Moulis1.50111185113WAug 12 · 09:03D. Sabuka1.731111113F. Fryml2.004560
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