TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13015059
Played Aug 26Finished
Julius Krejcik
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6111113116811––
Pavel Cizek
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:48 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeJulius Krejcik to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJulius Krejcik above · Pavel Cizek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 77 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Julius Krejcik at 55.8%
77 points played in total.
H2H Julius Krejcik 0–1 Pavel Cizek Julius Krejcik has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:48What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Krejcik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Krejcik 1397 vs Cizek 1358
Krejcik
Wrong
both rated, 39 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krejcik 80% vs Cizek 40%
Krejcik
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krejcik 60% vs Cizek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Krejcik +3 · Cizek -1
Krejcik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Krejcik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krejcik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrejcik 1.67 / Cizek 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Krejcik)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13015059
Krejcik1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 19 of 30
Up 2–0, closes it90% 9 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it73% 11 of 15
Cizek2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog50% won 13 of 26
Down 0–1, comes back20% 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKrejcik0wins
AwayCizek1wins
Cizek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKrejcikCizekK − CBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match36.041.0−5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrejcikCizekBasisWin rate · lifetime22 / 35 vs 29 / 6462.9%45.3%22 / 35 vs 29 / 64Avg sets wonper match2.31.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.336.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrejcikKrejcik 1.67/Cizek 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Krejcik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Cizek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 26 · 06:30J. Krejcik—6111181P. Cizek—11136113
J. Krejcik10
LSep 3 · 12:28J. Krejcik1.8391170J. Blazek1.831113113LSep 3 · 11:30J. Blazek1.731071513113J. Krejcik2.001211131162WSep 3 · 11:00J. Krejcik2.001111113J. Seeman1.733940WSep 3 · 10:00J. Krejcik1.611111410153J. Jnr2.20531112132LAug 31 · 12:34J. Krejcik1.3641141162V. Kucala3.00119118113LAug 31 · 12:00J. Krejcik1.57713591J. Seeman2.25111111113WAug 31 · 10:30V. Kucala2.63111111362J. Krejcik1.44138711113LAug 31 · 10:00D. Sabuka2.501111123J. Krejcik1.5037100WAug 28 · 12:28J. Krejcik1.6111511113J. Jnr2.20711981LAug 28 · 12:00J. Krejcik1.91412341P. Moulis1.8011101142
P. Cizek10
LSep 2 · 12:39P. Moulis2.3811121112113P. Cizek1.5381471472LSep 2 · 11:30P. Cizek2.104680J. Jnr1.671111113LSep 2 · 10:30P. Cizek1.83111112642M. Holub1.83941411113WSep 2 · 09:30P. Cizek1.7391111113P. Moulis2.00112791WAug 26 · 09:09M. Snizek1.5731260P. Cizek2.251114113LAug 26 · 08:00P. Cizek2.1011411262M. Snizek1.67911511113LAug 26 · 06:00F. Fryml2.6311611113P. Cizek1.44711671WAug 13 · 08:34P. Cizek1.6712411113P. Moulis2.101011651WAug 13 · 07:30P. Moulis1.739780P. Cizek2.001111113LAug 13 · 07:00P. Cizek2.0049100J. Seeman1.731111123
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