TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12457329
Played Aug 19Finished
Tomas Stejskal
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117811116911115
Jakub Dufek Jnr
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:10 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Stejskal to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingTomas Stejskal above · Jakub Dufek Jnr below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 90 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Tomas Stejskal at 54.0%
90 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Stejskal 1–1 Jakub Dufek Jnr Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:10What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Jnr
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Stejskal 1466 vs Jnr 1422
Stejskal
Correct
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stejskal 80% vs Jnr 60%
Stejskal
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stejskal 60% vs Jnr 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stejskal +2 · Jnr +3
Jnr
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Stejskal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jnr form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStejskal 1.83 / Jnr 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Stejskal)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #12457329
Stejskal1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Jnr1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeStejskal1wins
AwayJnr1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricStejskalJnrS − JBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match34.035.5−1.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStejskalJnrBasisWin rate · lifetime104 / 224 vs 231 / 44846.4%51.6%104 / 224 vs 231 / 448Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JnrStejskal 1.83/Jnr 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Stejskal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Stejskal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 12 · 17:03T. Stejskal—91050J. Jnr—1112113
WAug 12 · 16:00T. Stejskal—91111133J. Jnr—1196111
T. Stejskal10
WAug 31 · 20:38M. Vana1.531181061T. Stejskal2.3871112113LAug 31 · 19:30T. Stejskal2.2031181162M. Vana1.61116119113WAug 31 · 18:30T. Stejskal2.631111113O. Karpisek1.449460WAug 31 · 17:30T. Stejskal2.20111013113L. Hendrych1.618121161LAug 24 · 12:23T. Stejskal1.3011101081J. Jnr3.4081212113LAug 24 · 11:45T. Stejskal2.00610111182M. Vorel1.73111261113WAug 24 · 10:15J. Jnr2.635720T. Stejskal1.441111113LAug 24 · 09:45J. Hanacek1.9111111112123T. Stejskal1.80137514102WAug 19 · 20:18J. Jnr2.1091180T. Stejskal1.671113113WAug 19 · 18:15T. Stejskal1.8311115113A. Dvoracek1.83571171
J. Jnr10
LSep 3 · 12:58J. Seeman2.0011119113J. Jnr1.73681171LSep 3 · 12:00J. Jnr1.5791090J. Seeman2.251112113LSep 3 · 10:30J. Blazek2.501071111113J. Jnr1.5012116972LSep 3 · 10:00J. Krejcik1.611111410153J. Jnr2.20531112132LSep 2 · 13:08M. Holub2.001113113J. Jnr1.7391170WSep 2 · 11:30P. Cizek2.104680J. Jnr1.671111113WSep 2 · 11:00J. Jnr1.7311118113P. Moulis2.00971151WAug 24 · 12:23T. Stejskal1.3011101081J. Jnr3.4081212113LAug 24 · 10:15J. Jnr2.635720T. Stejskal1.441111113LAug 19 · 20:18J. Jnr2.1091180T. Stejskal1.671113113
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