TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13030820
Played Aug 27Finished
Jakub Dufek Jnr
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171161210––––
Jan Blazek
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingJakub Dufek Jnr above · Jan Blazek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 57 set 3, 12-10
57 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Dufek Jnr 1–1 Jan Blazek Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Blazek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Blazek form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJnr 1.80 / Blazek 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Blazek)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13030820
Jnr1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 89 of 138
Up 2–0, closes it92% 43 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it74% 63 of 85
Blazek1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 49 of 128
Down 0–1, comes back23% 16 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeJnr1wins
AwayBlazek1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricJnrBlazekJ − BBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match41.037.5+3.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJnrBlazekBasisWin rate · lifetime238 / 468 vs 164 / 38050.9%43.2%238 / 468 vs 164 / 380Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.339.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BlazekJnr 1.80/Blazek 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Blazek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Jnr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 27 · 13:30J. Jnr—1111891J. Blazek—51311113
WAug 11 · 12:00J. Jnr—111011113J. Blazek—712971
J. Jnr10
LSep 3 · 12:58J. Seeman2.0011119113J. Jnr1.73681171LSep 3 · 12:00J. Jnr1.5791090J. Seeman2.251112113LSep 3 · 10:30J. Blazek2.501071111113J. Jnr1.5012116972LSep 3 · 10:00J. Krejcik1.611111410153J. Jnr2.20531112132LSep 2 · 13:08M. Holub2.001113113J. Jnr1.7391170WSep 2 · 11:30P. Cizek2.104680J. Jnr1.671111113WSep 2 · 11:00J. Jnr1.7311118113P. Moulis2.00971151WSep 2 · 10:00J. Jnr1.8011911113M. Holub1.91911791LSep 1 · 12:38M. Melisek1.6191211113J. Jnr2.201110871LSep 1 · 11:30R. Slunecko1.6711911113J. Jnr2.10911491
J. Blazek10
WSep 3 · 12:28J. Krejcik1.8391170J. Blazek1.831113113WSep 3 · 11:30J. Blazek1.731071513113J. Krejcik2.001211131162WSep 3 · 10:30J. Blazek2.501071111113J. Jnr1.5012116972LSep 3 · 09:30J. Blazek2.0092111162J. Seeman1.73111199113WAug 28 · 12:23J. Hanacek1.4081411592J. Blazek2.751112811113LAug 28 · 11:15J. Blazek1.8311161152M. Melisek1.83119118113LAug 28 · 10:15J. Blazek2.6361080M. Vorel1.441112113LAug 28 · 09:15J. Blazek2.257290J. Hanacek1.571111113WAug 27 · 15:30J. Blazek2.63911116113E. Ondracek1.4411391182LAug 27 · 14:30J. Blazek2.75961181L. Tuma1.4011117113
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