TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13031765
Played Aug 28Finished
Jan Blazek
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711211911––––
Josef Hanacek
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:33 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeJosef Hanacek to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Blazek above · Josef Hanacek below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 51 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Josef Hanacek at 60.1%
51 points played in total.
H2H Jan Blazek 3–5 Josef Hanacek Jan Blazek has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:33What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Hanacek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-5 in 8
Hanacek
Correct
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Blazek 1390 vs Hanacek 1493
Hanacek
Correct
both rated, 103 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Blazek 40% vs Hanacek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Blazek 50% vs Hanacek 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Blazek -1 · Hanacek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Hanacek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hanacek form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBlazek 2.25 / Hanacek 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Hanacek)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13031765
Blazek2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 51 of 132
Down 0–1, comes back24% 18 of 75
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 31
Hanacek1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 64 of 114
Up 2–0, closes it89% 25 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it85% 44 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeBlazek3wins
AwayHanacek5wins
2 of 8 to a deciderHanacek leads 5–3, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBlazek75%3 of 4
AwayHanacek100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Blazek4Hanacek4n = 8split evenly
S2Blazek4Hanacek4n = 8split evenly
S3Blazek3Hanacek5n = 8Hanacek took 5 of 8
S4Blazek4Hanacek2n = 6Blazek took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricBlazekHanacekB − HBasisWins35−2in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match35.837.9−2.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBlazekHanacekBasisWin rate · lifetime164 / 381 vs 217 / 41443%52.4%164 / 381 vs 217 / 414Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.239.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HanacekBlazek 2.25/Hanacek 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Hanacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hanacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LAug 21 · 13:04J. Blazek—811511102J. Hanacek—118116123
WAug 21 · 09:30J. Blazek—12811113J. Hanacek—1011891
WAug 11 · 12:34J. Blazek—1111113J. Hanacek—8650
LAug 11 · 10:00J. Blazek—812181J. Hanacek—111011113
LAug 5 · 16:59J. Blazek—119851J. Hanacek—81111113
WAug 5 · 15:00J. Blazek—11116113J. Hanacek—881171
LAug 4 · 15:00J. Blazek—117111162J. Hanacek—131157113
LJul 15 · 15:30J. Blazek—8470J. Hanacek—1111113
J. Blazek10
WSep 3 · 12:28J. Krejcik1.8391170J. Blazek1.831113113WSep 3 · 11:30J. Blazek1.731071513113J. Krejcik2.001211131162WSep 3 · 10:30J. Blazek2.501071111113J. Jnr1.5012116972LSep 3 · 09:30J. Blazek2.0092111162J. Seeman1.73111199113WAug 28 · 12:23J. Hanacek1.4081411592J. Blazek2.751112811113LAug 28 · 11:15J. Blazek1.8311161152M. Melisek1.83119118113LAug 28 · 10:15J. Blazek2.6361080M. Vorel1.441112113LAug 27 · 16:29J. Jnr1.801111123J. Blazek1.9176100WAug 27 · 15:30J. Blazek2.63911116113E. Ondracek1.4411391182LAug 27 · 14:30J. Blazek2.75961181L. Tuma1.4011117113
J. Hanacek10
WSep 5 · 16:29J. Hanacek4.00116117113L. Hendrych1.2251141152LSep 5 · 16:00F. Kubos1.801111103J. Hanacek1.915870LSep 5 · 13:30L. Hendrych1.251111113J. Hanacek3.759690LSep 3 · 12:23J. Hanacek2.201011110J. Marhol1.611213133LSep 3 · 11:45O. Plyska1.67117111113J. Hanacek2.1041181192LSep 3 · 10:45M. Vana1.501112114113J. Hanacek2.5091471192WSep 3 · 09:15J. Marhol1.57121211982J. Hanacek2.251014711113LSep 2 · 09:03T. Bertho1.61117139113J. Hanacek2.20911111162WSep 2 · 08:00J. Hanacek2.7511116113T. Bertho1.40981161LAug 28 · 12:23J. Hanacek1.4081411592J. Blazek2.751112811113
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