TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13031518
Played Aug 28Finished
Jan Blazek
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6111012811––––
Martin Vorel
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:17 and never touched — 62.7% is still 62.7%
Graded at full timeMartin Vorel to win
62.7%
62.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Blazek above · Martin Vorel below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 54 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Martin Vorel at 62.7%
54 points drawn · the score is 4 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Jan Blazek 11–19 Martin Vorel Jan Blazek has won 11 of their 30 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:17What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Vorel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-19 in 30
Vorel
Correct
gap of 8 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Blazek 1357 vs Vorel 1403
Vorel
Correct
both rated, 47 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Blazek 40% vs Vorel 60%
Vorel
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Blazek 40% vs Vorel 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Blazek -2 · Vorel +3
Vorel
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Vorel) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBlazek 2.63 / Vorel 1.44
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Vorel)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13031518
Blazek2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 51 of 132
Down 0–1, comes back24% 18 of 75
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 31
Vorel1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 97 of 176
Up 2–0, closes it90% 43 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it78% 71 of 91
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBlazek2wins
AwayVorel8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderVorel leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBlazek50%2 of 4
AwayVorel100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Blazek4Vorel6n = 10Vorel took 6 of 10
S2Blazek5Vorel5n = 10split evenly
S3Blazek2Vorel8n = 10Vorel took 8 of 10
S4Blazek3Vorel3n = 6split evenly
S5Blazek0Vorel3n = 3Vorel took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricBlazekVorelB − VBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.939.4−4.5per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBlazekVorelBasisWin rate · lifetime164 / 384 vs 412 / 79442.7%51.9%164 / 384 vs 412 / 794Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.139.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VorelBlazek 2.63/Vorel 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.9%
Vorel · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Vorel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 28 · 10:15J. Blazek—61080M. Vorel—1112113
LMay 28 · 14:00J. Blazek—1111711102M. Vorel—713114123
WApr 16 · 09:30J. Blazek—11119123M. Vorel—9611101
LApr 7 · 12:58J. Blazek—91291272M. Vorel—11101110113
LApr 7 · 09:30J. Blazek—512531M. Vorel—111011113
LFeb 11 · 16:45J. Blazek—9111221M. Vorel—11914113
LDec 12 · 11:15J. Blazek—68100M. Vorel—1111123
WDec 1 · 13:35J. Blazek—1111113M. Vorel—6970
LDec 1 · 11:30J. Blazek—11760M. Vorel—1311113
LNov 18 · 06:30J. Blazek—11811942M. Vorel—411811113
J. Blazek10
WSep 3 · 12:28J. Krejcik1.8391170J. Blazek1.831113113WSep 3 · 11:30J. Blazek1.731071513113J. Krejcik2.001211131162WSep 3 · 10:30J. Blazek2.501071111113J. Jnr1.5012116972LSep 3 · 09:30J. Blazek2.0092111162J. Seeman1.73111199113WAug 28 · 12:23J. Hanacek1.4081411592J. Blazek2.751112811113LAug 28 · 11:15J. Blazek1.8311161152M. Melisek1.83119118113LAug 28 · 09:15J. Blazek2.257290J. Hanacek1.571111113LAug 27 · 16:29J. Jnr1.801111123J. Blazek1.9176100WAug 27 · 15:30J. Blazek2.63911116113E. Ondracek1.4411391182LAug 27 · 14:30J. Blazek2.75961181L. Tuma1.4011117113
M. Vorel10
LSep 7 · 08:00O. Plyska2.101151213113M. Vorel1.67511141192LSep 7 · 07:00J. Mejzlik2.001091111113M. Vorel1.7312119982LSep 7 · 05:30P. Hlina1.5311811113M. Vorel2.38511751LSep 4 · 09:23J. Puk1.83119116133M. Vorel1.83611711112WSep 4 · 07:30M. Snizek2.2061151172M. Vorel1.61117118113WSep 4 · 07:00M. Vorel1.3681111113P. Moulis3.00113531WSep 4 · 06:00M. Vorel1.836111110113J. Puk1.8311891252LSep 2 · 16:28M. Vorel2.109870P. Hlina1.671111113LSep 2 · 16:00M. Vorel1.7377120L. Tuma2.001111143LSep 2 · 14:30P. Hlina1.8071111113M. Vorel1.91118211
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