Ladislav Tuma vs Petr Kotrbacek 2-3

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #13073802

Played Sep 4Finished

Ladislav Tuma

Home

1.57

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

1012117118911211

Petr Kotrbacek

Away

2.25

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:29 and never touched — 57.1% is still 57.1%

Graded at full time

Ladislav Tuma to win

57.1%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

no pick shipped

How it is goingLadislav Tuma above · Petr Kotrbacek below

Set 1 · 10-12

Set 2 · 11-7

Set 3 · 11-8

Set 4 · 9-11

Set 5 · 2-11

Point 92 set 5, 2-11 — our read held Ladislav Tuma at 57.1%

92 points played in total.

H2H Ladislav Tuma 31–17 Petr Kotrbacek Petr Kotrbacek has won 17 of their 48 meetings.

Last 10 · 7–3Same sideHead to head

The pickNo pick published

Sealed 21:29

What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.57 (59%)

Tuma

Wrong

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

31-17 in 48

Tuma

Wrong

gap of 14 in 48, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Tuma 1465 vs Kotrbacek 1447

Tuma

Wrong

both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Tuma 60% vs Kotrbacek 60%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Tuma 50% vs Kotrbacek 60%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Tuma -1 · Kotrbacek +1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Tuma)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Kotrbacek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsTuma 1.57 / Kotrbacek 2.25

Signal prob.57% / 43%

Edge (Tuma)-1.8pp (anti-value)

Setka Cup · #13073802

Tuma1.57

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite63% won 57 of 90

Up 2–0, closes it97% 28 of 29

Up 1–0, closes it89% 46 of 52

Kotrbacek2.25

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As underdog35% won 29 of 82

Down 0–1, comes back14% 5 of 37

Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 22

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeTuma7wins

AwayKotrbacek3wins

3 of 10 to a deciderTuma leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeTuma100%5 of 5

AwayKotrbacek60%3 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Tuma5Kotrbacek5n = 10split evenly

S2Tuma5Kotrbacek5n = 10split evenly

S3Tuma7Kotrbacek3n = 10Tuma took 7 of 10

S4Tuma7Kotrbacek1n = 8Tuma took 7 of 8

S5Tuma1Kotrbacek2n = 3Kotrbacek took 2 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home550%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricTumaKotrbacekT − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.938.7+2.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricTumaKotrbacekBasisWin rate · lifetime235 / 473 vs 125 / 26949.7%46.5%235 / 473 vs 125 / 269Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.639.3per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Tuma

Tuma 1.57/Kotrbacek 2.25

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

57.1%

Tuma · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Kotrbacek won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WAug 6 · 16:39L. Tuma—11118113P. Kotrbacek—931161

LAug 6 · 14:00L. Tuma—126111172P. Kotrbacek—141185113

WJul 4 · 09:08L. Tuma—71512113P. Kotrbacek—11131081

WJul 4 · 06:00L. Tuma—11101110123P. Kotrbacek—812912102

WJun 30 · 16:54L. Tuma—11511113P. Kotrbacek—811971

LJun 30 · 15:45L. Tuma—611111272P. Kotrbacek—1161310113

LJun 11 · 19:15L. Tuma—9770P. Kotrbacek—1111113

WMay 9 · 17:30L. Tuma—71311113P. Kotrbacek—1111891

WApr 7 · 16:00L. Tuma—12511113P. Kotrbacek—1011951

WApr 1 · 14:15L. Tuma—1111113P. Kotrbacek—6980

L. Tuma10

WSep 4 · 16:58K. Jirousek2.1010880L. Tuma1.671211113 WSep 4 · 15:30F. Husek2.0081191192L. Tuma1.73119115113 WSep 4 · 15:00L. Tuma1.911111113K. Jirousek1.809950 LSep 2 · 16:58L. Tuma2.20811100V. Toman1.611113123 WSep 2 · 16:00M. Vorel1.7377120L. Tuma2.001111143 LSep 2 · 15:00V. Toman1.73611117113L. Tuma2.0011941172 WSep 2 · 13:30P. Hlina2.25991461L. Tuma1.57111112113 WAug 27 · 16:59L. Tuma2.751111113E. Ondracek1.409180 WAug 27 · 16:00L. Tuma1.6791112113J. Jnr2.101131081 WAug 27 · 14:30J. Blazek2.75961181L. Tuma1.4011117113

P. Kotrbacek10

WSep 4 · 16:40P. Kotrbacek2.38127712113F. Husek1.531011111092 LSep 4 · 16:00P. Kotrbacek1.918890K. Jirousek1.801111113 WSep 4 · 14:30F. Husek2.0071111862P. Kotrbacek1.73118511113 WSep 1 · 16:39P. Kotrbacek1.7311101011123F. Schmidtmayer2.00912126102 LSep 1 · 16:00P. Kotrbacek2.2531161132K. Farsky1.57117119113 WSep 1 · 14:30F. Schmidtmayer1.831411581P. Kotrbacek1.8316711113 LSep 1 · 14:00T. Bertho1.61111617113P. Kotrbacek2.207141931 WAug 28 · 16:45P. Kotrbacek2.38913911113F. Schmidtmayer1.53111111682 LAug 28 · 16:00P. Kotrbacek1.801361410152A. Dvoracek1.9111111212173 LAug 28 · 14:30F. Schmidtmayer1.808111111113P. Kotrbacek1.9111481372

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