TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13023203
Played Aug 27Finished
Ladislav Tuma
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
9111131210118––
Jakub Dufek Jnr
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:59 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeLadislav Tuma to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLadislav Tuma above · Jakub Dufek Jnr below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 75 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Ladislav Tuma at 55.8%
75 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:59What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Tuma
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Tuma 1440 vs Jnr 1365
Tuma
Correct
both rated, 75 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tuma 40% vs Jnr 60%
Jnr
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tuma 50% vs Jnr 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tuma +1 · Jnr -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Tuma)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jnr form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTuma 1.67 / Jnr 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Tuma)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13023203
Tuma1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 59 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it97% 29 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it89% 47 of 53
Jnr2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog51% won 90 of 176
Down 0–1, comes back34% 29 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricTumaJnrBasisWin rate · lifetime236 / 478 vs 238 / 46749.4%51%236 / 478 vs 238 / 467Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TumaTuma 1.67/Jnr 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Tuma · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Tuma won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
L. Tuma10
WSep 4 · 16:58K. Jirousek2.1010880L. Tuma1.671211113WSep 4 · 15:30F. Husek2.0081191192L. Tuma1.73119115113WSep 4 · 15:00L. Tuma1.911111113K. Jirousek1.809950LSep 4 · 14:00L. Tuma1.57101111922P. Kotrbacek2.25127811113LSep 2 · 16:58L. Tuma2.20811100V. Toman1.611113123WSep 2 · 16:00M. Vorel1.7377120L. Tuma2.001111143LSep 2 · 15:00V. Toman1.73611117113L. Tuma2.0011941172WSep 2 · 13:30P. Hlina2.25991461L. Tuma1.57111112113WAug 27 · 16:59L. Tuma2.751111113E. Ondracek1.409180WAug 27 · 14:30J. Blazek2.75961181L. Tuma1.4011117113
J. Jnr10
LSep 3 · 12:58J. Seeman2.0011119113J. Jnr1.73681171LSep 3 · 12:00J. Jnr1.5791090J. Seeman2.251112113LSep 3 · 10:30J. Blazek2.501071111113J. Jnr1.5012116972LSep 3 · 10:00J. Krejcik1.611111410153J. Jnr2.20531112132LSep 2 · 13:08M. Holub2.001113113J. Jnr1.7391170WSep 2 · 11:30P. Cizek2.104680J. Jnr1.671111113WSep 2 · 11:00J. Jnr1.7311118113P. Moulis2.00971151WSep 2 · 10:00J. Jnr1.8011911113M. Holub1.91911791LSep 1 · 12:38M. Melisek1.6191211113J. Jnr2.201110871LSep 1 · 11:30R. Slunecko1.6711911113J. Jnr2.10911491
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