TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13060744
Played Sep 2Finished
Vojtech Toman
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
611119114711117
Ladislav Tuma
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVojtech Toman to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVojtech Toman above · Ladislav Tuma below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 88 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Vojtech Toman at 54.0%
88 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Toman 6–8 Ladislav Tuma Vojtech Toman has won 6 of their 14 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:33What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Toman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-8 in 14
Tuma
Wrong
gap of 2 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Toman 1520 vs Tuma 1473
Toman
Correct
both rated, 47 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Toman 60% vs Tuma 80%
Tuma
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Toman 40% vs Tuma 60%
Tuma
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Toman +3 · Tuma +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Toman)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tuma form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsToman 1.73 / Tuma 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Toman)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13060744
Toman1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite52% won 22 of 42
Up 2–0, closes it100% 12 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it74% 17 of 23
Tuma2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 43 of 100
Down 0–1, comes back20% 10 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeToman5wins
AwayTuma5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeToman80%4 of 5
AwayTuma80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Toman5Tuma5n = 10split evenly
S2Toman4Tuma6n = 10Tuma took 6 of 10
S3Toman4Tuma6n = 10Tuma took 6 of 10
S4Toman4Tuma2n = 6Toman took 4 of 6
S5Toman2Tuma2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricTomanTumaToman − TumaBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.739.4−1.7per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTomanTumaBasisWin rate · lifetime42 / 86 vs 234 / 47048.8%49.8%42 / 86 vs 234 / 470Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TomanToman 1.73/Tuma 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Toman · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Toman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 21 · 18:30V. Toman—91151162L. Tuma—117119113
WJul 15 · 13:15V. Toman—1211133L. Tuma—109110
WMay 26 · 18:15V. Toman—111011113L. Tuma—812831
WJan 12 · 21:51V. Toman—11411173L. Tuma—7119151
LJan 12 · 19:00V. Toman—69100L. Tuma—1111123
LNov 9 · 21:25V. Toman—111110582L. Tuma—661211113
LNov 9 · 20:30V. Toman—96130L. Tuma—1111153
LSep 9 · 14:30V. Toman—10440L. Tuma—1211113
WJun 26 · 17:30V. Toman—714119113L. Tuma—111281162
WMay 27 · 20:36V. Toman—115711113L. Tuma—51111882
V. Toman10
WSep 2 · 16:58L. Tuma2.20811100V. Toman1.611113123WSep 2 · 15:30P. Hlina2.00111178132V. Toman1.73861111153WSep 2 · 14:00V. Toman1.671111113M. Vorel2.107570WAug 26 · 16:29F. Schmidtmayer2.6371110111V. Toman1.4411612133WAug 26 · 15:30V. Toman1.671111113F. Schmidtmayer2.105860LAug 26 · 14:30V. Toman1.677111291P. Abraham2.10111310113LAug 19 · 20:29L. Krasl1.40991311113V. Toman2.75111111872LAug 19 · 19:30V. Toman1.834970L. Krasl1.831111113WAug 19 · 18:30V. Toman1.8312119113J. Marhol1.831081171LAug 19 · 17:30V. Toman1.671310981K. Farsky2.10111211113
L. Tuma10
WSep 4 · 16:58K. Jirousek2.1010880L. Tuma1.671211113WSep 4 · 15:30F. Husek2.0081191192L. Tuma1.73119115113WSep 4 · 15:00L. Tuma1.911111113K. Jirousek1.809950LSep 4 · 14:00L. Tuma1.57101111922P. Kotrbacek2.25127811113LSep 2 · 16:58L. Tuma2.20811100V. Toman1.611113123WSep 2 · 16:00M. Vorel1.7377120L. Tuma2.001111143WSep 2 · 13:30P. Hlina2.25991461L. Tuma1.57111112113WAug 27 · 16:59L. Tuma2.751111113E. Ondracek1.409180WAug 27 · 16:00L. Tuma1.6791112113J. Jnr2.101131081WAug 27 · 14:30J. Blazek2.75961181L. Tuma1.4011117113
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