TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12457303
Played Aug 19Finished
Vojtech Toman
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
13111012911811––
Karel Farsky
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:12 and never touched — 54.8% is still 54.8%
Graded at full timeVojtech Toman to win
54.8%
54.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVojtech Toman above · Karel Farsky below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 85 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Vojtech Toman at 54.8%
85 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Toman 4–6 Karel Farsky Vojtech Toman has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:12What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Toman
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-6 in 10
Farsky
Correct
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Toman 1484 vs Farsky 1482
Toman
Wrong
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Toman 20% vs Farsky 80%
Farsky
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Toman 50% vs Farsky 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Toman -4 · Farsky -1
Toman
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Farsky) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Farsky form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsToman 1.67 / Farsky 2.10
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Farsky)+9.8pp
Setka Cup · #12457303
Toman1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 21 of 38
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it75% 15 of 20
Farsky2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 34 of 74
Down 0–1, comes back32% 13 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back12% 2 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeToman4wins
AwayFarsky6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderFarsky leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTomann = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayFarsky62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Toman2Farsky8n = 10Farsky took 8 of 10
S2Toman6Farsky4n = 10Toman took 6 of 10
S3Toman6Farsky4n = 10Toman took 6 of 10
S4Toman4Farsky4n = 8split evenly
S5Toman2Farsky3n = 5Farsky took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricTomanFarskyT − FBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match40.739.3+1.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTomanFarskyBasisWin rate · lifetime43 / 90 vs 164 / 33747.8%48.7%43 / 90 vs 164 / 337Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.639.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FarskyToman 1.67/Farsky 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Farsky · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Farsky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 19 · 17:30V. Toman—1310981K. Farsky—111211113
WJul 29 · 17:09V. Toman—1111113K. Farsky—7960
LJul 29 · 15:00V. Toman—51271182K. Farsky—1110112113
LJul 23 · 20:28V. Toman—47120K. Farsky—1111143
WJul 23 · 19:30V. Toman—91111113K. Farsky—111431
LJun 28 · 17:15V. Toman—91111992K. Farsky—118911113
WNov 23 · 21:00V. Toman—311711113K. Farsky—11711752
LMay 28 · 21:15V. Toman—87111182K. Farsky—111198113
LMay 28 · 19:00V. Toman—871191K. Farsky—11118113
WJan 28 · 19:45V. Toman—1211119113K. Farsky—14931172
V. Toman10
WSep 2 · 16:58L. Tuma2.20811100V. Toman1.611113123WSep 2 · 15:30P. Hlina2.00111178132V. Toman1.73861111153WSep 2 · 15:00V. Toman1.73611117113L. Tuma2.0011941172WSep 2 · 14:00V. Toman1.671111113M. Vorel2.107570WAug 26 · 16:29F. Schmidtmayer2.6371110111V. Toman1.4411612133WAug 26 · 15:30V. Toman1.671111113F. Schmidtmayer2.105860LAug 26 · 14:30V. Toman1.677111291P. Abraham2.10111310113LAug 19 · 20:29L. Krasl1.40991311113V. Toman2.75111111872LAug 19 · 19:30V. Toman1.834970L. Krasl1.831111113WAug 19 · 18:30V. Toman1.8312119113J. Marhol1.831081171
K. Farsky10
WSep 6 · 20:33A. Dvoracek1.807860K. Farsky1.911111113LSep 6 · 19:30J. Pina2.10711511143K. Farsky1.67116117122LSep 6 · 19:00K. Farsky1.831159111K. Jirousek1.8371111133LSep 6 · 18:00K. Farsky1.731472101A. Dvoracek2.00121111123LSep 1 · 17:08K. Farsky1.8081151352T. Bertho1.911131111113WSep 1 · 16:00P. Kotrbacek2.2531161132K. Farsky1.57117119113LSep 1 · 15:00T. Bertho2.001111113K. Farsky1.737450WSep 1 · 13:30F. Schmidtmayer1.83991391K. Farsky1.83111111113LAug 27 · 21:08K. Farsky1.5711981142J. Pina2.25511117113WAug 27 · 20:00J. Pina2.2512117282K. Farsky1.571071111113
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