TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13032597
Played Aug 27Finished
Karel Farsky
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
115911811117411
Jan Pina
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingKarel Farsky above · Jan Pina below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 88 set 5, 4-11
88 points played in total.
H2H Karel Farsky 3–1 Jan Pina Jan Pina has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Farsky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pina form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFarsky 1.57 / Pina 2.25
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Farsky)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13032597
Farsky1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite53% won 52 of 99
Up 2–0, closes it87% 26 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it70% 35 of 50
Pina2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog41% won 14 of 34
Down 0–1, comes back38% 9 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back24% 4 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeFarsky3wins
AwayPina1wins
2 of 4 to a deciderFarsky leads 3–1, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFarsky66.7%2 of 3
AwayPinan = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Farsky3Pina1n = 4Farsky took 3 of 4
S2Farsky1Pina3n = 4Pina took 3 of 4
S3Farsky2Pina2n = 4split evenly
S4Farsky4Pina0n = 4Farsky took 4 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricFarskyPinaF − PBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match44.240.2+4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFarskyPinaBasisWin rate · lifetime167 / 344 vs 55 / 11548.6%47.8%167 / 344 vs 55 / 115Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.338.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FarskyFarsky 1.57/Pina 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.7%
Farsky · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Pina won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 27 · 20:00K. Farsky—1071111113J. Pina—12117282
WJul 3 · 15:30K. Farsky—11117163J. Pina—9511141
LJun 28 · 20:44K. Farsky—11891122J. Pina—811117113
WJun 28 · 19:45K. Farsky—14511113J. Pina—1211471
K. Farsky10
WSep 6 · 20:33A. Dvoracek1.807860K. Farsky1.911111113LSep 6 · 19:30J. Pina2.10711511143K. Farsky1.67116117122LSep 6 · 19:00K. Farsky1.831159111K. Jirousek1.8371111133LSep 6 · 18:00K. Farsky1.731472101A. Dvoracek2.00121111123LSep 1 · 17:08K. Farsky1.8081151352T. Bertho1.911131111113WSep 1 · 16:00P. Kotrbacek2.2531161132K. Farsky1.57117119113LSep 1 · 15:00T. Bertho2.001111113K. Farsky1.737450WSep 1 · 13:30F. Schmidtmayer1.83991391K. Farsky1.83111111113WAug 27 · 20:00J. Pina2.2512117282K. Farsky1.571071111113LAug 27 · 19:00J. Botka2.00111353113K. Farsky1.73711111162
J. Pina10
LSep 6 · 21:03K. Jirousek1.5711127113J. Pina2.255101131WSep 6 · 19:30J. Pina2.10711511143K. Farsky1.67116117122WSep 6 · 18:30J. Pina1.9111611143A. Dvoracek1.808118121LSep 6 · 17:30J. Pina2.255141151K. Jirousek1.5711168113LAug 27 · 20:00J. Pina2.2512117282K. Farsky1.571071111113LAug 27 · 18:30K. Jirousek1.6711811113J. Pina2.10911981LAug 27 · 18:00J. Botka1.611081111113J. Pina2.2012119792LAug 23 · 08:59P. Abraham1.2511116113J. Pina3.75591191WAug 23 · 07:30J. Pina2.101212411113A. Dvoracek1.67101411762WAug 23 · 06:30J. Pina1.9112911113P. Hlina1.801011771
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