TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073904
Played Sep 4Finished
Filip Husek
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811119911115911
Ladislav Tuma
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:51 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLadislav Tuma to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFilip Husek above · Ladislav Tuma below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 95 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Ladislav Tuma at 54.0%
95 points played in total.
H2H Filip Husek 3–6 Ladislav Tuma Filip Husek has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:51What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Tuma
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-6 in 9
Tuma
Correct
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Husek 1431 vs Tuma 1468
Tuma
Correct
both rated, 36 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Husek 60% vs Tuma 40%
Husek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Husek 50% vs Tuma 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Husek -2 · Tuma +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Tuma) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tuma form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHusek 2.00 / Tuma 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Tuma)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13073904
Husek2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 19 of 42
Down 0–1, comes back30% 6 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Tuma1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 57 of 90
Up 2–0, closes it97% 28 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it89% 46 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeHusek3wins
AwayTuma6wins
3 of 9 to a deciderTuma leads 6–3, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHusek75%3 of 4
AwayTuma100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Husek4Tuma5n = 9Tuma took 5 of 9
S2Husek3Tuma6n = 9Tuma took 6 of 9
S3Husek6Tuma3n = 9Husek took 6 of 9
S4Husek2Tuma5n = 7Tuma took 5 of 7
S5Husek1Tuma2n = 3Tuma took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away333%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricHusekTumaH − TBasisWins36−3in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match36.141.9−5.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHusekTumaBasisWin rate · lifetime78 / 150 vs 236 / 47552%49.7%78 / 150 vs 236 / 475Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TumaHusek 2.00/Tuma 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Tuma · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Tuma won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WAug 11 · 14:30F. Husek—16611113L. Tuma—1411941
LJun 30 · 14:45F. Husek—811451L. Tuma—11911113
LApr 22 · 14:00F. Husek—631271L. Tuma—111110113
WMar 24 · 15:00F. Husek—119139113L. Tuma—811111182
LMar 3 · 16:00F. Husek—89111162L. Tuma—111189113
LFeb 5 · 17:41F. Husek—4760L. Tuma—1111113
LFeb 5 · 16:30F. Husek—991141L. Tuma—11119113
WJan 26 · 18:30F. Husek—1111113L. Tuma—9780
LJul 28 · 14:30F. Husek—111462112L. Tuma—9121111133
F. Husek10
LSep 4 · 16:40P. Kotrbacek2.38127712113F. Husek1.531011111092LSep 4 · 14:30F. Husek2.0071111862P. Kotrbacek1.73118511113LSep 4 · 13:30F. Husek1.83511391K. Jirousek1.8311711113WAug 21 · 17:14J. Jnr1.731171251F. Husek2.0061114113WAug 21 · 15:30F. Husek1.911114116113M. Melisek1.80812131182WAug 21 · 14:30F. Husek2.7511611113E. Ondracek1.40611441LAug 21 · 13:30F. Husek1.9168131192J. Jnr1.801111119113WAug 12 · 16:33J. Mejzlik2.2011911672F. Husek1.61711411113WAug 12 · 15:30F. Husek1.8311115113J. Mejzlik1.83591171LAug 12 · 14:30F. Husek1.8382111172J. Jnr1.83111186113
L. Tuma10
WSep 4 · 16:58K. Jirousek2.1010880L. Tuma1.671211113WSep 4 · 15:00L. Tuma1.911111113K. Jirousek1.809950LSep 4 · 14:00L. Tuma1.57101111922P. Kotrbacek2.25127811113LSep 2 · 16:58L. Tuma2.20811100V. Toman1.611113123WSep 2 · 16:00M. Vorel1.7377120L. Tuma2.001111143LSep 2 · 15:00V. Toman1.73611117113L. Tuma2.0011941172WSep 2 · 13:30P. Hlina2.25991461L. Tuma1.57111112113WAug 27 · 16:59L. Tuma2.751111113E. Ondracek1.409180WAug 27 · 16:00L. Tuma1.6791112113J. Jnr2.101131081WAug 27 · 14:30J. Blazek2.75961181L. Tuma1.4011117113
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