TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12467065
Played Aug 21Finished
Filip Husek
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11814121113611118
Marian Melisek
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:19 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFilip Husek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFilip Husek above · Marian Melisek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 105 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Filip Husek at 54.0%
105 points played in total.
H2H Filip Husek 13–14 Marian Melisek Filip Husek has won 13 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:19What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Melisek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-14 in 27
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Husek 1453 vs Melisek 1380
Husek
Correct
both rated, 72 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Husek 60% vs Melisek 20%
Husek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Husek 50% vs Melisek 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Husek +1 · Melisek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Husek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Melisek form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHusek 1.91 / Melisek 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Husek)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #12467065
Husek1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 16 of 39
Down 0–1, comes back26% 5 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Melisek1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 45 of 76
Up 2–0, closes it82% 23 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it75% 33 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHusek6wins
AwayMelisek4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderHusek leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHusek83.3%5 of 6
AwayMelisek75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Husek6Melisek4n = 10Husek took 6 of 10
S2Husek4Melisek6n = 10Melisek took 6 of 10
S3Husek4Melisek6n = 10Melisek took 6 of 10
S4Husek4Melisek4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHusekMelisekH − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.937.8+1.1per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHusekMelisekBasisWin rate · lifetime79 / 152 vs 222 / 46252%48.1%79 / 152 vs 222 / 462Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HusekHusek 1.91/Melisek 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Husek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Husek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 21 · 15:30F. Husek—1114116113M. Melisek—812131182
WAug 3 · 15:30F. Husek—91111113M. Melisek—116991
LMay 28 · 15:45F. Husek—12980M. Melisek—1411113
LMar 24 · 17:28F. Husek—7121191M. Melisek—11147113
WMar 24 · 16:30F. Husek—118118113M. Melisek—61171152
WFeb 17 · 15:00F. Husek—11117113M. Melisek—471181
WFeb 6 · 13:36F. Husek—14119103M. Melisek—1251121
LFeb 6 · 12:30F. Husek—5850M. Melisek—1111113
WDec 20 · 13:50F. Husek—1171493M. Melisek—7111281
LDec 20 · 12:45F. Husek—1111931M. Melisek—61311113
F. Husek10
LSep 4 · 16:40P. Kotrbacek2.38127712113F. Husek1.531011111092LSep 4 · 15:30F. Husek2.0081191192L. Tuma1.73119115113LSep 4 · 14:30F. Husek2.0071111862P. Kotrbacek1.73118511113LSep 4 · 13:30F. Husek1.83511391K. Jirousek1.8311711113WAug 21 · 17:14J. Jnr1.731171251F. Husek2.0061114113WAug 21 · 14:30F. Husek2.7511611113E. Ondracek1.40611441LAug 21 · 13:30F. Husek1.9168131192J. Jnr1.801111119113WAug 12 · 16:33J. Mejzlik2.2011911672F. Husek1.61711411113WAug 12 · 15:30F. Husek1.8311115113J. Mejzlik1.83591171LAug 12 · 14:30F. Husek1.8382111172J. Jnr1.83111186113
M. Melisek10
WSep 1 · 12:38M. Melisek1.6191211113J. Jnr2.201110871LSep 1 · 12:00M. Melisek2.2011811842M. Vorel1.61511311113LSep 1 · 10:30R. Slunecko1.57911911113M. Melisek2.2511911832WSep 1 · 10:00J. Jnr1.735890M. Melisek2.001111113LAug 30 · 16:33J. Hanacek1.53891211113M. Melisek2.38111110622WAug 30 · 15:30M. Melisek2.75611126143P. Abraham1.401181011122LAug 30 · 14:30M. Melisek2.50117761A. Dvoracek1.5021111113LAug 30 · 13:30M. Melisek2.20612761J. Hanacek1.61111011113WAug 28 · 12:54M. Vorel1.5311581282M. Melisek2.384111110113WAug 28 · 11:15J. Blazek1.8311161152M. Melisek1.83119118113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.