TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12407795
Played Aug 12Finished
Filip Husek
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811211118116711
Jakub Dufek Jnr
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:54 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Dufek Jnr to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFilip Husek above · Jakub Dufek Jnr below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 86 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Jakub Dufek Jnr at 54.0%
86 points played in total.
H2H Filip Husek 0–1 Jakub Dufek Jnr Filip Husek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:54What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Jnr
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Husek 1397 vs Jnr 1496
Jnr
Correct
both rated, 99 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Husek 40% vs Jnr 80%
Jnr
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Husek 40% vs Jnr 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Husek -3 · Jnr +1
Husek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jnr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jnr form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHusek 1.83 / Jnr 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Jnr)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #12407795
Husek1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Jnr1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeHusek0wins
AwayJnr1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderJnr leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricHusekJnrH − JBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match39.047.0−8.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHusekJnrBasisWin rate · lifetime76 / 150 vs 232 / 44150.7%52.6%76 / 150 vs 232 / 441Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JnrHusek 1.83/Jnr 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Jnr · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Jnr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 12 · 14:30F. Husek—82111172J. Jnr—111186113
F. Husek10
LSep 4 · 16:40P. Kotrbacek2.38127712113F. Husek1.531011111092LSep 4 · 15:30F. Husek2.0081191192L. Tuma1.73119115113LSep 4 · 14:30F. Husek2.0071111862P. Kotrbacek1.73118511113LSep 4 · 13:30F. Husek1.83511391K. Jirousek1.8311711113WAug 21 · 17:14J. Jnr1.731171251F. Husek2.0061114113WAug 21 · 15:30F. Husek1.911114116113M. Melisek1.80812131182WAug 21 · 14:30F. Husek2.7511611113E. Ondracek1.40611441LAug 21 · 13:30F. Husek1.9168131192J. Jnr1.801111119113WAug 12 · 16:33J. Mejzlik2.2011911672F. Husek1.61711411113WAug 12 · 15:30F. Husek1.8311115113J. Mejzlik1.83591171
J. Jnr10
LSep 3 · 12:58J. Seeman2.0011119113J. Jnr1.73681171LSep 3 · 12:00J. Jnr1.5791090J. Seeman2.251112113LSep 3 · 10:30J. Blazek2.501071111113J. Jnr1.5012116972LSep 3 · 10:00J. Krejcik1.611111410153J. Jnr2.20531112132LSep 2 · 13:08M. Holub2.001113113J. Jnr1.7391170WSep 2 · 11:30P. Cizek2.104680J. Jnr1.671111113WSep 2 · 11:00J. Jnr1.7311118113P. Moulis2.00971151WSep 2 · 10:00J. Jnr1.8011911113M. Holub1.91911791LAug 21 · 17:14J. Jnr1.731171251F. Husek2.0061114113WAug 21 · 13:30F. Husek1.9168131192J. Jnr1.801111119113
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