TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073909
Played Sep 4Finished
Filip Husek
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511117311911––
Karel Jirousek
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:52 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFilip Husek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingFilip Husek above · Karel Jirousek below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 68 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Filip Husek at 54.0%
68 points played in total.
H2H Filip Husek 6–5 Karel Jirousek Karel Jirousek has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:52What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Jirousek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-5 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Husek 1453 vs Jirousek 1453
Jirousek
Correct
both rated, 0 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Husek 80% vs Jirousek 60%
Husek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Husek 50% vs Jirousek 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Husek +3 · Jirousek -2
Husek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Husek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Husek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHusek 1.83 / Jirousek 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Husek)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13073909
Husek1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Jirousek1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHusek5wins
AwayJirousek5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHusek83.3%5 of 6
AwayJirousek100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Husek6Jirousek4n = 10Husek took 6 of 10
S2Husek3Jirousek7n = 10Jirousek took 7 of 10
S3Husek5Jirousek5n = 10split evenly
S4Husek4Jirousek5n = 9Jirousek took 5 of 9
S5Husek4Jirousek2n = 6Husek took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHusekJirousekH − JBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.342.9−1.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHusekJirousekBasisWin rate · lifetime78 / 148 vs 226 / 44252.7%51.1%78 / 148 vs 226 / 442Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.940.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HusekHusek 1.83/Jirousek 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Husek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Jirousek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 11 · 17:03F. Husek—11611472K. Jirousek—811611113
WAug 11 · 13:30F. Husek—1110114163K. Jirousek—712411142
LAug 4 · 14:30F. Husek—911351K. Jirousek—11811113
WAug 2 · 13:09F. Husek—116911113K. Jirousek—91111862
LAug 2 · 12:00F. Husek—13812101K. Jirousek—151110123
WApr 26 · 18:00F. Husek—1111113K. Jirousek—6680
WApr 22 · 16:28F. Husek—117411113K. Jirousek—61111972
LApr 22 · 14:30F. Husek—8111171K. Jirousek—11813113
WDec 14 · 09:30F. Husek—129611113K. Jirousek—101111472
LDec 14 · 07:00F. Husek—67111152K. Jirousek—111198113
F. Husek10
LSep 4 · 16:40P. Kotrbacek2.38127712113F. Husek1.531011111092LSep 4 · 15:30F. Husek2.0081191192L. Tuma1.73119115113LSep 4 · 14:30F. Husek2.0071111862P. Kotrbacek1.73118511113WAug 21 · 17:14J. Jnr1.731171251F. Husek2.0061114113WAug 21 · 15:30F. Husek1.911114116113M. Melisek1.80812131182WAug 21 · 14:30F. Husek2.7511611113E. Ondracek1.40611441LAug 21 · 13:30F. Husek1.9168131192J. Jnr1.801111119113WAug 12 · 16:33J. Mejzlik2.2011911672F. Husek1.61711411113WAug 12 · 15:30F. Husek1.8311115113J. Mejzlik1.83591171LAug 12 · 14:30F. Husek1.8382111172J. Jnr1.83111186113
K. Jirousek10
WSep 6 · 21:03K. Jirousek1.5711127113J. Pina2.255101131LSep 6 · 20:00A. Dvoracek2.20713119123K. Jirousek1.611111711102WSep 6 · 19:00K. Farsky1.831159111K. Jirousek1.8371111133WSep 6 · 17:30J. Pina2.255141151K. Jirousek1.5711168113LSep 4 · 16:58K. Jirousek2.1010880L. Tuma1.671211113WSep 4 · 16:00P. Kotrbacek1.918890K. Jirousek1.801111113LSep 4 · 15:00L. Tuma1.911111113K. Jirousek1.809950LAug 27 · 20:38J. Botka1.441211123K. Jirousek2.63104100LAug 27 · 19:30K. Jirousek2.0011380J. Botka1.731311113WAug 27 · 18:30K. Jirousek1.6711811113J. Pina2.10911981
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