TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12407783
Played Aug 12Finished
Filip Husek
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115119511117––
Jakub Mejzlik
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:54 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeFilip Husek to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFilip Husek above · Jakub Mejzlik below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 70 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Filip Husek at 60.8%
70 points played in total.
H2H Filip Husek 2–1 Jakub Mejzlik Jakub Mejzlik has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:54What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Mejzlik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Husek 1397 vs Mejzlik 1446
Mejzlik
Wrong
both rated, 49 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Husek 20% vs Mejzlik 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Husek 30% vs Mejzlik 50%
Mejzlik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Husek -4 · Mejzlik -2
Husek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mejzlik) · live re-read · sealed at 39% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mejzlik form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHusek 1.83 / Mejzlik 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Mejzlik)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #12407783
Husek1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Mejzlik1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeHusek2wins
AwayMejzlik1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderHusek leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Husek2Mejzlik1n = 3Husek took 2 of 3
S2Husek2Mejzlik1n = 3Husek took 2 of 3
S3Husek3Mejzlik0n = 3Husek took 3 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricHusekMejzlikH − MBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match40.336.0+4.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHusekMejzlikBasisWin rate · lifetime76 / 150 vs 145 / 30050.7%48.3%76 / 150 vs 145 / 300Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.739.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MejzlikHusek 1.83/Mejzlik 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Mejzlik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Husek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 3 · 17:30F. Husek—11811113J. Mejzlik—611991
WAug 4 · 20:55F. Husek—1111113J. Mejzlik—9880
LAug 4 · 19:45F. Husek—711111262J. Mejzlik—114814113
F. Husek10
LSep 4 · 16:40P. Kotrbacek2.38127712113F. Husek1.531011111092LSep 4 · 15:30F. Husek2.0081191192L. Tuma1.73119115113LSep 4 · 14:30F. Husek2.0071111862P. Kotrbacek1.73118511113LSep 4 · 13:30F. Husek1.83511391K. Jirousek1.8311711113WAug 21 · 17:14J. Jnr1.731171251F. Husek2.0061114113WAug 21 · 15:30F. Husek1.911114116113M. Melisek1.80812131182WAug 21 · 14:30F. Husek2.7511611113E. Ondracek1.40611441LAug 21 · 13:30F. Husek1.9168131192J. Jnr1.801111119113WAug 12 · 16:33J. Mejzlik2.2011911672F. Husek1.61711411113LAug 12 · 14:30F. Husek1.8382111172J. Jnr1.83111186113
J. Mejzlik10
LSep 7 · 08:38J. Mejzlik2.1010111151P. Hlina1.6712313113WSep 7 · 07:30P. Hlina1.5311118652J. Mejzlik2.38681111113WSep 7 · 07:00J. Mejzlik2.001091111113M. Vorel1.7312119982WSep 7 · 06:00J. Mejzlik1.9191111113O. Plyska1.80115971LAug 25 · 08:33J. Mejzlik1.917750P. Hlina1.801111113LAug 25 · 07:30P. Hlina2.20911119133J. Mejzlik1.61115611112WAug 25 · 07:00J. Mejzlik2.3811911113M. Vorel1.53411761WAug 25 · 06:00J. Mejzlik1.738111111123J. Puk2.00116138102LAug 19 · 08:37J. Mejzlik3.759790L. Tuma1.251111113LAug 12 · 16:33J. Mejzlik2.2011911672F. Husek1.61711411113
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