TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073984
Played Sep 4Finished
Filip Husek
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
711118115811611
Petr Kotrbacek
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:09 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timePetr Kotrbacek to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFilip Husek above · Petr Kotrbacek below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 89 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Petr Kotrbacek at 54.9%
89 points played in total.
H2H Filip Husek 1–6 Petr Kotrbacek Filip Husek has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:09What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kotrbacek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-6 in 7
Kotrbacek
Correct
gap of 5 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Husek 1404 vs Kotrbacek 1473
Kotrbacek
Correct
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Husek 60% vs Kotrbacek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Husek 50% vs Kotrbacek 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Husek -1 · Kotrbacek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Kotrbacek) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHusek 2.00 / Kotrbacek 1.73
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Kotrbacek)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13073984
Husek2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 19 of 42
Down 0–1, comes back30% 6 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Kotrbacek1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 36 of 57
Up 2–0, closes it100% 15 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it71% 25 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeHusek1wins
AwayKotrbacek6wins
5 of 7 to a deciderKotrbacek leads 6–1, and 5 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHusekn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKotrbacek80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Husek2Kotrbacek5n = 7Kotrbacek took 5 of 7
S2Husek4Kotrbacek3n = 7Husek took 4 of 7
S3Husek4Kotrbacek3n = 7Husek took 4 of 7
S4Husek1Kotrbacek5n = 6Kotrbacek took 5 of 6
S5Husek1Kotrbacek4n = 5Kotrbacek took 4 of 5
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away457%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricHusekKotrbacekH − KBasisWins16−5in 7 meetingsFirst set25−3of 7Avg pointsper match41.446.7−5.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHusekKotrbacekBasisWin rate · lifetime78 / 152 vs 126 / 26951.3%46.8%78 / 152 vs 126 / 269Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.039.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KotrbacekHusek 2.00/Kotrbacek 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Kotrbacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kotrbacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 4 · 16:40F. Husek—1011111092P. Kotrbacek—127712113
LSep 4 · 14:30F. Husek—71111862P. Kotrbacek—118511113
LJun 30 · 13:45F. Husek—11651132P. Kotrbacek—811119113
LMay 28 · 16:13F. Husek—71360P. Kotrbacek—1115113
WMay 28 · 13:45F. Husek—611118113P. Kotrbacek—11681182
LMar 16 · 16:30F. Husek—11811672P. Kotrbacek—811811113
LMar 3 · 17:00F. Husek—5141691P. Kotrbacek—111218113
F. Husek10
LSep 4 · 16:40P. Kotrbacek2.38127712113F. Husek1.531011111092LSep 4 · 15:30F. Husek2.0081191192L. Tuma1.73119115113LSep 4 · 13:30F. Husek1.83511391K. Jirousek1.8311711113WAug 21 · 17:14J. Jnr1.731171251F. Husek2.0061114113WAug 21 · 15:30F. Husek1.911114116113M. Melisek1.80812131182WAug 21 · 14:30F. Husek2.7511611113E. Ondracek1.40611441LAug 21 · 13:30F. Husek1.9168131192J. Jnr1.801111119113WAug 12 · 16:33J. Mejzlik2.2011911672F. Husek1.61711411113WAug 12 · 15:30F. Husek1.8311115113J. Mejzlik1.83591171LAug 12 · 14:30F. Husek1.8382111172J. Jnr1.83111186113
P. Kotrbacek10
WSep 4 · 16:40P. Kotrbacek2.38127712113F. Husek1.531011111092LSep 4 · 16:00P. Kotrbacek1.918890K. Jirousek1.801111113WSep 4 · 14:00L. Tuma1.57101111922P. Kotrbacek2.25127811113WSep 1 · 16:39P. Kotrbacek1.7311101011123F. Schmidtmayer2.00912126102LSep 1 · 16:00P. Kotrbacek2.2531161132K. Farsky1.57117119113WSep 1 · 14:30F. Schmidtmayer1.831411581P. Kotrbacek1.8316711113LSep 1 · 14:00T. Bertho1.61111617113P. Kotrbacek2.207141931WAug 28 · 16:45P. Kotrbacek2.38913911113F. Schmidtmayer1.53111111682LAug 28 · 16:00P. Kotrbacek1.801361410152A. Dvoracek1.9111111212173LAug 28 · 14:30F. Schmidtmayer1.808111111113P. Kotrbacek1.9111481372
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