TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13059806
Played Sep 1Finished
Petr Kotrbacek
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119101210121161210
Frantisek Schmidtmayer
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 5
How it is goingPetr Kotrbacek above · Frantisek Schmidtmayer below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 103 set 5, 12-10
103 points played in total.
H2H Petr Kotrbacek 3–2 Frantisek Schmidtmayer Frantisek Schmidtmayer has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Kotrbacek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Schmidtmayer form (0%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKotrbacek 1.73 / Schmidtmayer 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Kotrbacek)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13059806
Kotrbacek1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 35 of 56
Up 2–0, closes it100% 15 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it71% 24 of 34
Schmidtmayer2.00
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog39% won 39 of 101
Down 0–1, comes back24% 16 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKotrbacek3wins
AwaySchmidtmayer2wins
3 of 5 to a deciderKotrbacek leads 3–2, and 3 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKotrbacek50%2 of 4
AwaySchmidtmayern = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kotrbacek4Schmidtmayer1n = 5Kotrbacek took 4 of 5
S2Kotrbacek1Schmidtmayer4n = 5Schmidtmayer took 4 of 5
S3Kotrbacek3Schmidtmayer2n = 5Kotrbacek took 3 of 5
S4Kotrbacek4Schmidtmayer1n = 5Kotrbacek took 4 of 5
S5Kotrbacek1Schmidtmayer2n = 3Schmidtmayer took 2 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away240%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricKotrbacekSchmidtmayerK − SBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match45.243.2+2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKotrbacekSchmidtmayerBasisWin rate · lifetime124 / 268 vs 216 / 46246.3%46.8%124 / 268 vs 216 / 462Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.337.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KotrbacekKotrbacek 1.73/Schmidtmayer 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Kotrbacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kotrbacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 1 · 14:30P. Kotrbacek—16711113F. Schmidtmayer—1411581
WAug 28 · 16:45P. Kotrbacek—913911113F. Schmidtmayer—111111682
LAug 28 · 14:30P. Kotrbacek—11481372F. Schmidtmayer—8111111113
WJul 9 · 20:43P. Kotrbacek—11611113F. Schmidtmayer—611971
LJul 9 · 19:30P. Kotrbacek—11911782F. Schmidtmayer—411911113
P. Kotrbacek10
WSep 4 · 16:40P. Kotrbacek2.38127712113F. Husek1.531011111092LSep 4 · 16:00P. Kotrbacek1.918890K. Jirousek1.801111113WSep 4 · 14:30F. Husek2.0071111862P. Kotrbacek1.73118511113WSep 4 · 14:00L. Tuma1.57101111922P. Kotrbacek2.25127811113LSep 1 · 16:00P. Kotrbacek2.2531161132K. Farsky1.57117119113WSep 1 · 14:30F. Schmidtmayer1.831411581P. Kotrbacek1.8316711113LSep 1 · 14:00T. Bertho1.61111617113P. Kotrbacek2.207141931WAug 28 · 16:45P. Kotrbacek2.38913911113F. Schmidtmayer1.53111111682LAug 28 · 16:00P. Kotrbacek1.801361410152A. Dvoracek1.9111111212173LAug 28 · 14:30F. Schmidtmayer1.808111111113P. Kotrbacek1.9111481372
F. Schmidtmayer10
LSep 1 · 15:30F. Schmidtmayer2.759970T. Bertho1.401111113LSep 1 · 14:30F. Schmidtmayer1.831411581P. Kotrbacek1.8316711113LSep 1 · 13:30F. Schmidtmayer1.83991391K. Farsky1.83111111113LAug 28 · 16:45P. Kotrbacek2.38913911113F. Schmidtmayer1.53111111682LAug 28 · 15:30F. Schmidtmayer2.1084111262M. Vana1.671111310113WAug 28 · 14:30F. Schmidtmayer1.808111111113P. Kotrbacek1.9111481372LAug 28 · 13:30F. Schmidtmayer1.7381290A. Dvoracek2.001114113LAug 26 · 16:29F. Schmidtmayer2.6371110111V. Toman1.4411612133LAug 26 · 15:30V. Toman1.671111113F. Schmidtmayer2.105860LAug 26 · 15:00F. Schmidtmayer2.20116551J. Marhol1.6161111113
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