TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13023840
Played Aug 27Finished
Karel Jirousek
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1113311811––––
Jan Botka
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:42 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKarel Jirousek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingKarel Jirousek above · Jan Botka below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 57 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Karel Jirousek at 54.0%
57 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:42What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Botka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Jirousek 1485 vs Botka 1394
Jirousek
Wrong
both rated, 90 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jirousek 80% vs Botka 40%
Jirousek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jirousek 50% vs Botka 20%
Jirousek
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jirousek +3 · Botka +1
Jirousek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jirousek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Botka form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJirousek 2.00 / Botka 1.73
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Jirousek)+7.7pp
Setka Cup · #13023840
Jirousek2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 41 of 92
Down 0–1, comes back27% 12 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 23
Botka1.73
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite50% won 8 of 16
Up 2–0, closes it71% 5 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it50% 6 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricJirousekBotkaBasisWin rate · lifetime227 / 444 vs 39 / 9251.1%42.4%227 / 444 vs 39 / 92Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.138.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JirousekJirousek 2.00/Botka 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Jirousek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Botka won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
K. Jirousek10
WSep 6 · 21:03K. Jirousek1.5711127113J. Pina2.255101131LSep 6 · 20:00A. Dvoracek2.20713119123K. Jirousek1.611111711102WSep 6 · 19:00K. Farsky1.831159111K. Jirousek1.8371111133WSep 6 · 17:30J. Pina2.255141151K. Jirousek1.5711168113LSep 4 · 16:58K. Jirousek2.1010880L. Tuma1.671211113WSep 4 · 16:00P. Kotrbacek1.918890K. Jirousek1.801111113LSep 4 · 15:00L. Tuma1.911111113K. Jirousek1.809950WSep 4 · 13:30F. Husek1.83511391K. Jirousek1.8311711113LAug 27 · 20:38J. Botka1.441211123K. Jirousek2.63104100WAug 27 · 18:30K. Jirousek1.6711811113J. Pina2.10911981
J. Botka10
WAug 27 · 20:38J. Botka1.441211123K. Jirousek2.63104100WAug 27 · 19:00J. Botka2.00111353113K. Farsky1.73711111162WAug 27 · 18:00J. Botka1.611081111113J. Pina2.2012119792LAug 9 · 20:34M. Vorel2.2561113113J. Botka1.571121171WAug 9 · 19:30O. Karpisek1.531181041J. Botka2.3831112113LAug 9 · 19:00J. Botka1.5011117962M. Vorel2.50781111113LAug 9 · 18:00J. Botka2.38111111892M. Bruk1.53313911113LAug 8 · 08:44Z. Kuksa1.40121112113J. Botka2.751071471LAug 8 · 07:45J. Botka2.208390Z. Kuksa1.611111113LAug 8 · 06:15M. Taranko1.671111112113J. Botka2.10131191052
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