TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12456683
Played Aug 19Finished
Ladislav Tuma
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
11137111191012––
Jakub Mejzlik
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:40 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeJakub Mejzlik to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLadislav Tuma above · Jakub Mejzlik below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 84 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Jakub Mejzlik at 58.9%
84 points played in total.
H2H Ladislav Tuma 1–2 Jakub Mejzlik Ladislav Tuma has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:40What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Mejzlik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tuma 1442 vs Mejzlik 1385
Tuma
Wrong
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tuma 40% vs Mejzlik 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tuma 50% vs Mejzlik 30%
Tuma
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tuma +2 · Mejzlik -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Mejzlik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mejzlik form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTuma 2.25 / Mejzlik 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Mejzlik)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12456683
Tuma2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 40 of 96
Down 0–1, comes back20% 9 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 26
Mejzlik1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite61% won 49 of 80
Up 2–0, closes it93% 27 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it85% 41 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeTuma1wins
AwayMejzlik2wins
Mejzlik leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tuma1Mejzlik2n = 3Mejzlik took 2 of 3
S2Tuma1Mejzlik2n = 3Mejzlik took 2 of 3
S3Tuma2Mejzlik1n = 3Tuma took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricTumaMejzlikT − MBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match32.334.3−2.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTumaMejzlikBasisWin rate · lifetime233 / 475 vs 148 / 30749.1%48.2%233 / 475 vs 148 / 307Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.639.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MejzlikTuma 2.25/Mejzlik 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Mejzlik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Mejzlik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 19 · 08:37L. Tuma—1111113J. Mejzlik—9790
LAug 19 · 07:30L. Tuma—11711101J. Mejzlik—13119123
LAug 10 · 15:30L. Tuma—8890J. Mejzlik—1111113
L. Tuma10
WSep 4 · 16:58K. Jirousek2.1010880L. Tuma1.671211113WSep 4 · 15:30F. Husek2.0081191192L. Tuma1.73119115113WSep 4 · 15:00L. Tuma1.911111113K. Jirousek1.809950LSep 4 · 14:00L. Tuma1.57101111922P. Kotrbacek2.25127811113LSep 2 · 16:58L. Tuma2.20811100V. Toman1.611113123WSep 2 · 16:00M. Vorel1.7377120L. Tuma2.001111143LSep 2 · 15:00V. Toman1.73611117113L. Tuma2.0011941172WSep 2 · 13:30P. Hlina2.25991461L. Tuma1.57111112113WAug 27 · 16:59L. Tuma2.751111113E. Ondracek1.409180WAug 27 · 16:00L. Tuma1.6791112113J. Jnr2.101131081
J. Mejzlik10
LSep 7 · 08:38J. Mejzlik2.1010111151P. Hlina1.6712313113WSep 7 · 07:30P. Hlina1.5311118652J. Mejzlik2.38681111113WSep 7 · 07:00J. Mejzlik2.001091111113M. Vorel1.7312119982WSep 7 · 06:00J. Mejzlik1.9191111113O. Plyska1.80115971LAug 25 · 08:33J. Mejzlik1.917750P. Hlina1.801111113LAug 25 · 07:30P. Hlina2.20911119133J. Mejzlik1.61115611112WAug 25 · 07:00J. Mejzlik2.3811911113M. Vorel1.53411761WAug 25 · 06:00J. Mejzlik1.738111111123J. Puk2.00116138102LAug 19 · 08:37J. Mejzlik3.759790L. Tuma1.251111113LAug 19 · 07:00J. Mejzlik2.209111061M. Vorel1.6111312113
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