TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13042908
Played Aug 29Finished
Jakub Dufek Jnr
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
118511611119711
Oleh Plyska
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingJakub Dufek Jnr above · Oleh Plyska below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 90 set 5, 7-11
90 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Dufek Jnr 2–3 Oleh Plyska Jakub Dufek Jnr has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Plyska)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Plyska form (20%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJnr 2.63 / Plyska 1.44
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Plyska)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13042908
Jnr2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog50% won 90 of 179
Down 0–1, comes back33% 29 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 50
Plyska1.44
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 97 of 181
Up 2–0, closes it87% 45 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it63% 62 of 99
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeJnr2wins
AwayPlyska3wins
2 of 5 to a deciderPlyska leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJnr50%2 of 4
AwayPlyskan = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jnr4Plyska1n = 5Jnr took 4 of 5
S2Jnr3Plyska2n = 5Jnr took 3 of 5
S3Jnr1Plyska4n = 5Plyska took 4 of 5
S4Jnr3Plyska2n = 5Jnr took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away240%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricJnrPlyskaJ − PBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match41.243.2−2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJnrPlyskaBasisWin rate · lifetime238 / 464 vs 342 / 68951.3%49.6%238 / 464 vs 342 / 689Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PlyskaJnr 2.63/Plyska 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Plyska · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Plyska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WAug 21 · 05:30J. Jnr—111117113O. Plyska—921961
LJul 25 · 20:28J. Jnr—5131151O. Plyska—11153113
LJul 25 · 19:00J. Jnr—11691132O. Plyska—611118113
LJul 22 · 13:03J. Jnr—11112392O. Plyska—991111113
WJul 22 · 11:00J. Jnr—14119123O. Plyska—12911101
J. Jnr10
LSep 3 · 12:58J. Seeman2.0011119113J. Jnr1.73681171LSep 3 · 12:00J. Jnr1.5791090J. Seeman2.251112113LSep 3 · 10:30J. Blazek2.501071111113J. Jnr1.5012116972LSep 3 · 10:00J. Krejcik1.611111410153J. Jnr2.20531112132LSep 2 · 13:08M. Holub2.001113113J. Jnr1.7391170WSep 2 · 11:30P. Cizek2.104680J. Jnr1.671111113WSep 2 · 11:00J. Jnr1.7311118113P. Moulis2.00971151WSep 2 · 10:00J. Jnr1.8011911113M. Holub1.91911791LSep 1 · 12:38M. Melisek1.6191211113J. Jnr2.201110871LSep 1 · 11:30R. Slunecko1.6711911113J. Jnr2.10911491
O. Plyska10
WSep 7 · 09:09M. Vorel1.67138111172O. Plyska2.10151188113WSep 7 · 08:00O. Plyska2.101151213113M. Vorel1.67511141192LSep 7 · 06:30P. Hlina1.831241211113O. Plyska1.83141110962LSep 7 · 06:00J. Mejzlik1.9191111113O. Plyska1.80115971WSep 3 · 12:54O. Plyska1.8311119113M. Vana1.83771171WSep 3 · 11:45O. Plyska1.67117111113J. Hanacek2.1041181192LSep 3 · 10:15J. Marhol1.6110121112143O. Plyska2.201214910122WSep 3 · 09:45M. Vana1.801186101O. Plyska1.9181111123LSep 2 · 08:33O. Plyska1.9111101111122M. Vana1.80812913143WSep 2 · 07:30M. Vana1.8011691162O. Plyska1.91711113113
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