TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13015256
Played Aug 25Finished
Premysl Rucky
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
5111151412118––
Tomas Hanke
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingPremysl Rucky above · Tomas Hanke below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 77 set 4, 11-8
77 points played in total.
H2H Premysl Rucky 2–2 Tomas Hanke Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Rucky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rucky form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRucky 1.73 / Hanke 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Rucky)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13015256
Rucky1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite44% won 11 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it71% 5 of 7
Hanke2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog48% won 32 of 67
Down 0–1, comes back33% 9 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back14% 2 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeRucky2wins
AwayHanke2wins
2 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rucky2Hanke2n = 4split evenly
S2Rucky2Hanke2n = 4split evenly
S3Rucky2Hanke2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricRuckyHankeR − HBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match35.235.0+0.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRuckyHankeBasisWin rate · lifetime27 / 59 vs 283 / 52045.8%54.4%27 / 59 vs 283 / 520Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.539.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RuckyRucky 1.73/Hanke 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Rucky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Rucky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 25 · 19:45P. Rucky—31111852T. Hanke—117511113
WJul 17 · 20:00P. Rucky—1111113T. Hanke—6290
WJul 10 · 20:28P. Rucky—1110511113T. Hanke—91211492
LJul 10 · 19:30P. Rucky—7870T. Hanke—1111113
P. Rucky10
LSep 4 · 21:03P. Hala2.1011128113P. Rucky1.675101161LSep 4 · 19:30P. Rucky2.1083111152P. Orlowski1.67111153113LSep 4 · 18:30P. Rucky2.00611781D. Brichacek1.7311811113WSep 4 · 17:30P. Rucky1.611513118113P. Hala2.20131561192LAug 25 · 19:45T. Hanke2.25117511113P. Rucky1.5731111852LAug 25 · 18:45P. Orlowski2.101111113P. Rucky1.677590LAug 25 · 17:15J. Jnr1.5320127113P. Rucky2.3818101181WAug 21 · 20:39S. Kalensky2.50117561P. Rucky1.5061111113LAug 21 · 19:30P. Rucky1.83961181A. Pavlik1.8311119113WAug 21 · 18:30P. Rucky1.61101111123S. Kalensky2.201298101
T. Hanke10
LSep 6 · 08:58D. Brichacek1.401611911133T. Hanke2.75187116112WSep 6 · 07:15M. Taranko1.917860T. Hanke1.801111113LSep 6 · 06:45T. Hanke2.7511711462D. Brichacek1.40711611113LSep 6 · 05:45T. Hanke2.001191061L. Stoces1.7391112113LSep 5 · 20:30J. Juppa2.2011156203T. Hanke1.6171311181WSep 5 · 19:30T. Hanke1.73117116113O. Chadima2.0071181172LSep 5 · 18:30T. Hanke2.5071190D. Brichacek1.501113113LSep 5 · 17:30T. Hanke1.6181181162J. Juppa2.20116117113LAug 28 · 20:28D. Brichacek1.671111113T. Hanke2.105440WAug 25 · 19:45T. Hanke2.25117511113P. Rucky1.5731111852
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