TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084172
Played Sep 6Finished
Mikhail Taranko
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711811611––––
Tomas Hanke
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:21 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMikhail Taranko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMikhail Taranko above · Tomas Hanke below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 54 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Mikhail Taranko at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Mikhail Taranko 5–8 Tomas Hanke Mikhail Taranko has won 5 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:21What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Hanke
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-8 in 13
Hanke
Correct
gap of 3 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Taranko 1491 vs Hanke 1493
Hanke
Correct
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Taranko 60% vs Hanke 20%
Taranko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Taranko 50% vs Hanke 20%
Taranko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Taranko +1 · Hanke -3
Hanke
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hanke) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hanke form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTaranko 1.91 / Hanke 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Hanke)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13084172
Taranko1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 24 of 50
Down 0–1, comes back37% 11 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Hanke1.80
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 72 of 125
Up 2–0, closes it100% 36 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it80% 52 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTaranko4wins
AwayHanke6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHanke leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTaranko60%3 of 5
AwayHanke80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Taranko5Hanke5n = 10split evenly
S2Taranko6Hanke4n = 10Taranko took 6 of 10
S3Taranko2Hanke8n = 10Hanke took 8 of 10
S4Taranko3Hanke5n = 8Hanke took 5 of 8
S5Taranko2Hanke2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricTarankoHankeT − HBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.442.6−2.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTarankoHankeBasisWin rate · lifetime73 / 152 vs 271 / 50948%53.2%73 / 152 vs 271 / 509Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.739.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HankeTaranko 1.91/Hanke 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Hanke · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hanke won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 07:15M. Taranko—7860T. Hanke—1111113
WJul 12 · 08:49M. Taranko—118613113T. Hanke—711111182
WJul 12 · 06:15M. Taranko—111111123T. Hanke—1387101
LDec 13 · 07:45M. Taranko—6121041T. Hanke—111012113
LNov 22 · 08:45M. Taranko—1111814102T. Hanke—891116123
WAug 31 · 09:00M. Taranko—1111910113T. Hanke—38111272
WAug 31 · 06:45M. Taranko—111110153T. Hanke—9812131
LAug 30 · 09:15M. Taranko—1186101T. Hanke—91111123
LAug 30 · 07:00M. Taranko—13540T. Hanke—1511113
LMay 11 · 09:25M. Taranko—121111582T. Hanke—144411113
M. Taranko10
LSep 6 · 08:29L. Stoces1.221112113M. Taranko4.0051070WSep 6 · 06:15M. Taranko2.504111410143L. Stoces1.501191212122LSep 6 · 05:15M. Taranko2.104960D. Brichacek1.671111113LAug 29 · 08:23L. Hendrych2.101611911113M. Taranko1.67146111392WAug 29 · 07:15M. Taranko1.80121299113L. Hendrych1.911010111162WAug 29 · 06:15M. Taranko1.53311114113F. Kubos2.3811771172WAug 29 · 05:15M. Taranko2.101191211123T. Bertho1.67911146102WAug 22 · 08:39J. Snr2.63511991M. Taranko1.4411711113LAug 22 · 07:15M. Taranko1.361111119142J. Snr3.00613811163LAug 22 · 06:15M. Taranko1.671313271S. Kalensky2.10151111113
T. Hanke10
LSep 6 · 08:58D. Brichacek1.401611911133T. Hanke2.75187116112LSep 6 · 06:45T. Hanke2.7511711462D. Brichacek1.40711611113LSep 6 · 05:45T. Hanke2.001191061L. Stoces1.7391112113LSep 5 · 20:30J. Juppa2.2011156203T. Hanke1.6171311181WSep 5 · 19:30T. Hanke1.73117116113O. Chadima2.0071181172LSep 5 · 18:30T. Hanke2.5071190D. Brichacek1.501113113LSep 5 · 17:30T. Hanke1.6181181162J. Juppa2.20116117113LAug 28 · 20:28D. Brichacek1.671111113T. Hanke2.105440LAug 28 · 19:30T. Hanke2.10611512122D. Brichacek1.671161110143LAug 28 · 18:30T. Hanke2.10891191P. Maly1.6711119113
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