TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12474748
Played Aug 22Finished
Jakub Nemecek Snr
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511117911911––
Mikhail Taranko
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
How it is goingJakub Nemecek Snr above · Mikhail Taranko below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 74 set 4, 9-11
74 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Nemecek Snr 2–7 Mikhail Taranko Jakub Nemecek Snr has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Taranko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Taranko form (0%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSnr 2.63 / Taranko 1.44
Signal prob.32% / 69%
Edge (Taranko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #12474748
Snr2.63
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Taranko1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite48% won 15 of 31
Up 2–0, closes it86% 6 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it71% 10 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeSnr2wins
AwayTaranko7wins
4 of 9 to a deciderTaranko leads 7–2, and 4 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSnr33.3%1 of 3
AwayTaranko83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Snr3Taranko6n = 9Taranko took 6 of 9
S2Snr3Taranko6n = 9Taranko took 6 of 9
S3Snr3Taranko6n = 9Taranko took 6 of 9
S4Snr2Taranko5n = 7Taranko took 5 of 7
S5Snr2Taranko2n = 4split evenly
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away333%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricSnrTarankoS − TBasisWins27−5in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match36.144.1−8.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSnrTarankoBasisWin rate · lifetime84 / 197 vs 75 / 15942.6%47.2%84 / 197 vs 75 / 159Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.939.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TarankoSnr 2.63/Taranko 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.5%
Taranko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Taranko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WAug 22 · 07:15J. Snr—613811163M. Taranko—1111119142
LSep 13 · 06:45J. Snr—7990M. Taranko—1111113
LSep 6 · 08:43J. Snr—751181M. Taranko—11119113
LSep 6 · 07:15J. Snr—12117121M. Taranko—14911143
LAug 30 · 06:00J. Snr—155561M. Taranko—131111113
WJul 19 · 06:45J. Snr—119113123M. Taranko—611811102
LJun 15 · 06:45J. Snr—7590M. Taranko—1111113
LJun 8 · 05:30J. Snr—101121162M. Taranko—124117113
LMay 11 · 07:30J. Snr—11611522M. Taranko—711811113
J. Snr10
LSep 3 · 21:13S. Kalensky1.7361111113J. Snr2.00118871WSep 3 · 19:30J. Snr2.101211119113M. Cizek1.6714751172LSep 3 · 18:30J. Snr2.0061111242S. Kalensky1.73117811113WSep 3 · 17:30J. Snr1.73871111113F. Kubos2.0011118572LSep 1 · 20:58S. Kalensky1.8371113113J. Snr1.831181151WSep 1 · 19:30J. Snr2.501113133M. Cizek1.50411110LSep 1 · 18:30J. Snr1.8081151152S. Kalensky1.91114119113WSep 1 · 17:30J. Snr2.20122911113J. Juppa1.61101111632WAug 26 · 21:08V. Herrmann1.6110440J. Snr2.201211113WAug 26 · 19:30J. Tichy1.671118711102J. Snr2.101316118123
M. Taranko10
LSep 6 · 08:29L. Stoces1.221112113M. Taranko4.0051070LSep 6 · 07:15M. Taranko1.917860T. Hanke1.801111113WSep 6 · 06:15M. Taranko2.504111410143L. Stoces1.501191212122LSep 6 · 05:15M. Taranko2.104960D. Brichacek1.671111113LAug 29 · 08:23L. Hendrych2.101611911113M. Taranko1.67146111392WAug 29 · 07:15M. Taranko1.80121299113L. Hendrych1.911010111162WAug 29 · 06:15M. Taranko1.53311114113F. Kubos2.3811771172WAug 29 · 05:15M. Taranko2.101191211123T. Bertho1.67911146102LAug 22 · 07:15M. Taranko1.361111119142J. Snr3.00613811163LAug 22 · 06:15M. Taranko1.671313271S. Kalensky2.10151111113
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