TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13039586
Played Aug 29Finished
Mikhail Taranko
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11991112141161210
Tadeas Bertho
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTadeas Bertho to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMikhail Taranko above · Tadeas Bertho below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 105 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Tadeas Bertho at 54.0%
105 points played in total.
H2H Mikhail Taranko 1–2 Tadeas Bertho Mikhail Taranko has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 03:09What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Bertho
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Taranko 1503 vs Bertho 1451
Taranko
Correct
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Taranko 20% vs Bertho 40%
Bertho
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Taranko 50% vs Bertho 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Taranko +1 · Bertho +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Bertho)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bertho form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTaranko 2.10 / Bertho 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Bertho)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13039586
Taranko2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog47% won 22 of 47
Down 0–1, comes back36% 10 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11
Bertho1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 75 of 126
Up 2–0, closes it91% 41 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it78% 58 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeTaranko1wins
AwayBertho2wins
Bertho leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTarankon = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayBertho66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Taranko0Bertho3n = 3Bertho took 3 of 3
S2Taranko1Bertho2n = 3Bertho took 2 of 3
S3Taranko1Bertho2n = 3Bertho took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away267%
These 3 meetings
MetricTarankoBerthoT − BBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match26.733.3−6.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTarankoBerthoBasisWin rate · lifetime73 / 152 vs 341 / 64248%53.1%73 / 152 vs 341 / 642Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.639.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BerthoTaranko 2.10/Bertho 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Bertho · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Taranko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WJul 26 · 08:18M. Taranko—71113113T. Bertho—1131191
LJul 26 · 05:15M. Taranko—7680T. Bertho—1111113
LJun 20 · 06:45M. Taranko—3590T. Bertho—1111113
M. Taranko10
LSep 6 · 08:29L. Stoces1.221112113M. Taranko4.0051070LSep 6 · 07:15M. Taranko1.917860T. Hanke1.801111113WSep 6 · 06:15M. Taranko2.504111410143L. Stoces1.501191212122LSep 6 · 05:15M. Taranko2.104960D. Brichacek1.671111113LAug 29 · 08:23L. Hendrych2.101611911113M. Taranko1.67146111392WAug 29 · 07:15M. Taranko1.80121299113L. Hendrych1.911010111162WAug 29 · 06:15M. Taranko1.53311114113F. Kubos2.3811771172WAug 22 · 08:39J. Snr2.63511991M. Taranko1.4411711113LAug 22 · 07:15M. Taranko1.361111119142J. Snr3.00613811163LAug 22 · 06:15M. Taranko1.671313271S. Kalensky2.10151111113
T. Bertho10
LSep 6 · 12:31T. Bertho1.6791060S. Kalensky2.071112113LSep 6 · 12:00J. Juppa1.571111113T. Bertho2.257990WSep 6 · 11:00S. Kalensky1.8341191192T. Bertho1.83118119113LSep 6 · 09:30V. Herrmann1.83111011113T. Bertho1.83512931WSep 2 · 09:03T. Bertho1.61117139113J. Hanacek2.20911111162LSep 2 · 08:00J. Hanacek2.7511116113T. Bertho1.40981161LSep 2 · 07:00O. Plyska2.1011611113T. Bertho1.67911881WSep 2 · 05:30M. Vana1.83881181T. Bertho1.8311118113WSep 1 · 17:08K. Farsky1.8081151352T. Bertho1.911131111113WSep 1 · 15:30F. Schmidtmayer2.759970T. Bertho1.401111113
Upcoming Matches
M. Taranko
Nothing scheduled
T. Bertho
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