TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13086611
Played Sep 6Finished
Ludek Stoces
Home
1.22
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1151210117––––
Mikhail Taranko
Away
4.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingLudek Stoces above · Mikhail Taranko below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 56 set 3, 11-7
56 points played in total.
H2H Ludek Stoces 2–3 Mikhail Taranko Ludek Stoces has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Stoces)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Taranko form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStoces 1.22 / Taranko 4.00
Signal prob.76% / 24%
Edge (Stoces)-0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13086611
Stoces1.22
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite49% won 17 of 35
Up 2–0, closes it80% 4 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it41% 7 of 17
Taranko4.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog50% won 23 of 46
Down 0–1, comes back39% 10 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeStoces2wins
AwayTaranko3wins
3 of 5 to a deciderTaranko leads 3–2, and 3 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStoces33.3%1 of 3
AwayTarankon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stoces3Taranko2n = 5Stoces took 3 of 5
S2Stoces3Taranko2n = 5Stoces took 3 of 5
S3Stoces3Taranko2n = 5Stoces took 3 of 5
S4Stoces3Taranko1n = 4Stoces took 3 of 4
S5Stoces0Taranko3n = 3Taranko took 3 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away360%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricStocesTarankoS − TBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match48.043.2+4.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStocesTarankoBasisWin rate · lifetime87 / 202 vs 73 / 15143.1%48.3%87 / 202 vs 73 / 151Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.039.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StocesStoces 1.22/Taranko 4.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.2%
Stoces · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Stoces won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LSep 6 · 06:15L. Stoces—1191212122M. Taranko—4111410143
LMar 22 · 09:33L. Stoces—1213111092M. Taranko—1411912113
LMar 22 · 07:15L. Stoces—1310111192M. Taranko—1112136113
WJul 6 · 08:35L. Stoces—81112113M. Taranko—1171081
WJul 6 · 07:15L. Stoces—1111113M. Taranko—8630
L. Stoces10
LSep 6 · 07:45L. Stoces2.3886121122D. Brichacek1.531111106113LSep 6 · 06:15M. Taranko2.504111410143L. Stoces1.501191212122WSep 6 · 05:45T. Hanke2.001191061L. Stoces1.7391112113LAug 30 · 20:34L. Kolman1.5711811113L. Stoces2.25511781LAug 30 · 19:30D. Brichacek1.671211113L. Stoces2.1010940WAug 30 · 19:00L. Stoces2.38111176113L. Kolman1.5357111192WAug 30 · 18:00L. Stoces2.2011211113M. Hajek1.611110781WAug 29 · 16:15L. Stoces1.5711118113P. Maly2.25881141LAug 29 · 15:15P. Maly1.731211911123L. Stoces2.001013114102WAug 29 · 14:45L. Stoces1.911161210113V. Lopata1.80711101262
M. Taranko10
LSep 6 · 07:15M. Taranko1.917860T. Hanke1.801111113WSep 6 · 06:15M. Taranko2.504111410143L. Stoces1.501191212122LSep 6 · 05:15M. Taranko2.104960D. Brichacek1.671111113LAug 29 · 08:23L. Hendrych2.101611911113M. Taranko1.67146111392WAug 29 · 07:15M. Taranko1.80121299113L. Hendrych1.911010111162WAug 29 · 06:15M. Taranko1.53311114113F. Kubos2.3811771172WAug 29 · 05:15M. Taranko2.101191211123T. Bertho1.67911146102WAug 22 · 08:39J. Snr2.63511991M. Taranko1.4411711113LAug 22 · 07:15M. Taranko1.361111119142J. Snr3.00613811163LAug 22 · 06:15M. Taranko1.671313271S. Kalensky2.10151111113
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