TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037561
Played Aug 29Finished
Petr Maly
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
121011139111141210
Ludek Stoces
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:57 and never touched — 60.2% is still 60.2%
Graded at full timePetr Maly to win
60.2%
60.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Maly above · Ludek Stoces below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 9-10
Point 100 set 5, 9-10 — our read held Petr Maly at 60.2%
100 points drawn · the score is 3 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Petr Maly 1–0 Ludek Stoces Ludek Stoces has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:57What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Maly
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Maly 1535 vs Stoces 1472
Maly
Correct
both rated, 63 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maly 40% vs Stoces 20%
Maly
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maly 30% vs Stoces 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Maly -2 · Stoces -4
Stoces
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Maly) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stoces form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaly 1.73 / Stoces 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Maly)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13037561
Maly1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 69 of 127
Up 2–0, closes it91% 31 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it68% 52 of 76
Stoces2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 19 of 47
Down 0–1, comes back25% 7 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMaly1wins
AwayStoces0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderMaly leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMalyStocesM − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match49.044.0+5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMalyStocesBasisWin rate · lifetime242 / 446 vs 82 / 19254.3%42.7%242 / 446 vs 82 / 192Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.837.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MalyMaly 1.73/Stoces 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Maly · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Maly won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 22 · 12:00P. Maly—711911113L. Stoces—11811682
P. Maly10
LSep 5 · 12:19V. Lopata1.67101111113P. Maly2.10126851LSep 5 · 11:15P. Maly1.6112111171V. Herrmann2.2014138103WSep 5 · 10:15P. Maly2.00119713113V. Lopata1.73511111142LSep 5 · 09:15P. Maly2.25124871L. Kolman1.57101111113LSep 2 · 20:34P. Maly1.91613631J. Jnr1.80111111113LSep 2 · 20:00M. Hajek1.57111112113P. Maly2.25781491LSep 2 · 19:00R. Merkl1.911111113P. Maly1.808960LSep 2 · 17:30J. Jnr1.83111111113P. Maly1.83741391LSep 1 · 20:18T. Hucko1.5711101210113P. Maly2.25912101262LSep 1 · 19:15P. Maly2.388990T. Hucko1.531111113
L. Stoces10
WSep 6 · 08:29L. Stoces1.221112113M. Taranko4.0051070LSep 6 · 07:45L. Stoces2.3886121122D. Brichacek1.531111106113LSep 6 · 06:15M. Taranko2.504111410143L. Stoces1.501191212122WSep 6 · 05:45T. Hanke2.001191061L. Stoces1.7391112113LAug 30 · 20:34L. Kolman1.5711811113L. Stoces2.25511781LAug 30 · 19:30D. Brichacek1.671211113L. Stoces2.1010940WAug 30 · 19:00L. Stoces2.38111176113L. Kolman1.5357111192WAug 30 · 18:00L. Stoces2.2011211113M. Hajek1.611110781WAug 29 · 16:15L. Stoces1.5711118113P. Maly2.25881141WAug 29 · 14:45L. Stoces1.911161210113V. Lopata1.80711101262
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