TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13082501
Played Sep 5Finished
Vladimir Lopata
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1012116118115––
Petr Maly
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingVladimir Lopata above · Petr Maly below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 74 set 4, 11-5
74 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Lopata 2–4 Petr Maly Vladimir Lopata has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Lopata)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maly form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLopata 1.67 / Maly 2.10
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Lopata)-0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13082501
Lopata1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite51% won 26 of 51
Up 2–0, closes it82% 9 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it75% 21 of 28
Maly2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog55% won 41 of 75
Down 0–1, comes back35% 14 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back18% 4 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeLopata2wins
AwayMaly4wins
4 of 6 to a deciderMaly leads 4–2, and 4 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLopata66.7%2 of 3
AwayMaly100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lopata3Maly3n = 6split evenly
S2Lopata3Maly3n = 6split evenly
S3Lopata4Maly2n = 6Lopata took 4 of 6
S4Lopata1Maly3n = 4Maly took 3 of 4
S5Lopata1Maly3n = 4Maly took 3 of 4
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away350%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricLopataMalyL − MBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match38.742.3−3.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLopataMalyBasisWin rate · lifetime139 / 270 vs 240 / 45151.5%53.2%139 / 270 vs 240 / 451Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.739.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LopataLopata 1.67/Maly 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.4%
Lopata · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Lopata won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 5 · 10:15V. Lopata—511111142P. Maly—119713113
WAug 29 · 13:15V. Lopata—1112113P. Maly—51070
LAug 22 · 13:04V. Lopata—812111152P. Maly—111459113
WAug 22 · 10:00V. Lopata—1161110123P. Maly—811712102
LJul 25 · 12:38V. Lopata—11113652P. Maly—981111113
LJul 25 · 11:30V. Lopata—8690P. Maly—1111113
V. Lopata10
WSep 5 · 11:45V. Lopata2.0012911113L. Kolman1.731011741LSep 5 · 10:15P. Maly2.00119713113V. Lopata1.73511111142LSep 5 · 09:45V. Herrmann2.0011136113V. Lopata1.739111171LAug 30 · 16:47V. Lopata1.611111821V. Herrmann2.2081311113WAug 30 · 15:45V. Lopata1.571111143T. Bertho2.2554120LAug 30 · 14:15S. Kalensky1.8381111123V. Lopata1.831199101LAug 30 · 13:45V. Herrmann2.5011813113V. Lopata1.507111171WAug 29 · 16:44V. Lopata1.2511119113O. Chadima3.75551141WAug 29 · 15:45O. Chadima2.207730V. Lopata1.611111103LAug 29 · 14:45L. Stoces1.911161210113V. Lopata1.80711101262
P. Maly10
LSep 5 · 11:15P. Maly1.6112111171V. Herrmann2.2014138103WSep 5 · 10:15P. Maly2.00119713113V. Lopata1.73511111142LSep 5 · 09:15P. Maly2.25124871L. Kolman1.57101111113LSep 2 · 20:34P. Maly1.91613631J. Jnr1.80111111113LSep 2 · 20:00M. Hajek1.57111112113P. Maly2.25781491LSep 2 · 19:00R. Merkl1.911111113P. Maly1.808960LSep 2 · 17:30J. Jnr1.83111111113P. Maly1.83741391LSep 1 · 20:18T. Hucko1.5711101210113P. Maly2.25912101262LSep 1 · 19:15P. Maly2.388990T. Hucko1.531111113WSep 1 · 18:15P. Maly2.381111612113M. Hajek1.5386111482
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