TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13044545
Played Aug 30Finished
Vladimir Lopata
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1151141412––––
Tadeas Bertho
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:26 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeVladimir Lopata to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladimir Lopata above · Tadeas Bertho below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 14-12
Point 57 set 3, 14-12 — our read held Vladimir Lopata at 55.8%
57 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:26What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Lopata
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Lopata 1587 vs Bertho 1430
Lopata
Correct
both rated, 156 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lopata 40% vs Bertho 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lopata 50% vs Bertho 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lopata -2 · Bertho -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Lopata) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lopata form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLopata 1.57 / Bertho 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Lopata)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13044545
Lopata1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite52% won 25 of 48
Up 2–0, closes it80% 8 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it77% 20 of 26
Bertho2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog47% won 71 of 152
Down 0–1, comes back24% 17 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricLopataBerthoBasisWin rate · lifetime137 / 265 vs 341 / 64451.7%53%137 / 265 vs 341 / 644Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.839.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LopataLopata 1.57/Bertho 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Lopata · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Lopata won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
V. Lopata10
WSep 5 · 12:19V. Lopata1.67101111113P. Maly2.10126851WSep 5 · 11:45V. Lopata2.0012911113L. Kolman1.731011741LSep 5 · 10:15P. Maly2.00119713113V. Lopata1.73511111142LSep 5 · 09:45V. Herrmann2.0011136113V. Lopata1.739111171LAug 30 · 16:47V. Lopata1.611111821V. Herrmann2.2081311113LAug 30 · 14:15S. Kalensky1.8381111123V. Lopata1.831199101LAug 30 · 13:45V. Herrmann2.5011813113V. Lopata1.507111171WAug 29 · 16:44V. Lopata1.2511119113O. Chadima3.75551141WAug 29 · 15:45O. Chadima2.207730V. Lopata1.611111103LAug 29 · 14:45L. Stoces1.911161210113V. Lopata1.80711101262
T. Bertho10
LSep 6 · 12:31T. Bertho1.6791060S. Kalensky2.071112113LSep 6 · 12:00J. Juppa1.571111113T. Bertho2.257990WSep 6 · 11:00S. Kalensky1.8341191192T. Bertho1.83118119113LSep 6 · 09:30V. Herrmann1.83111011113T. Bertho1.83512931WSep 2 · 09:03T. Bertho1.61117139113J. Hanacek2.20911111162LSep 2 · 08:00J. Hanacek2.7511116113T. Bertho1.40981161LSep 2 · 07:00O. Plyska2.1011611113T. Bertho1.67911881WSep 2 · 05:30M. Vana1.83881181T. Bertho1.8311118113WSep 1 · 17:08K. Farsky1.8081151352T. Bertho1.911131111113WSep 1 · 15:30F. Schmidtmayer2.759970T. Bertho1.401111113
Upcoming Matches
V. Lopata
Nothing scheduled
T. Bertho
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